The effect of climate change on spring frosts and flowering of Crataegus laevigata – The indicator of the validity of the weather lore about “The Ice Saints”

Škvareninová, Jana; Lukasová, Veronika; Borsányi, Péter; Kvas, Andrej; Vido, Jaroslav; Štefková, Jaroslava; Škvarenina, Jaroslav

doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.109688

Cited by 3 publications

(1 citation statement)

References 38 publications

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“…Recent warming trends alter phenology, including plant phenophases such as flowering (Miller-Rushing & Primack 2008;Richardson et al 2013) as confirmed by a rapidly growing number of phenology studies (Lukasová et al 2020;Keatley & Hudson 2010;Schwartz 2013;Wolkovich & Ettinger 2014). Due to their interdisciplinary nature, phenological data have been extensively implemented as indicators in various areas of science, such as climate change, ecology and ecosystem processes, biodiversity, forestry, agriculture, and human health and well-being (Miller-Rushing & Primack 2008;Post et al 2008;Keatley & Hudson 2010;Sapkota et al 2019;Kowalski et al 2020;Škvareninová et al 2022). In the case of ornamental plants, which are introduced to the environment mainly due to their visual values and blooming is a crucial trait of their decorativeness (Włodarczyk & Perzanowska 2007;Inoue & Nagai 2015;Hoyle et al 2017;Cosmulescu et al 2020), climate-related changes in the timing and duration of flowering demand special attention.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Flowering Phenology of Shrub Roses as a Sensitive Indicator of Meteorological Variability in Central Europe

Włodarczyk,

Ziernicka-Wojtaszek,

Kędzior

et al. 2023

Journal of Horticultural Research

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Climate change and warming affect the development cycle of ornamental plants and, thus, their quality and ornamental value. The study aimed to investigate the flowering phenology of 37 cultivars of shrub roses in response to meteorological conditions based on eight years of observations. Based on 14,800 field records, we grouped shrub rose cultivars according to their dominant flowering stage as a sensitive indicator of variability in weather conditions. We also selected the rose cultivars that would retain the highest ornamental value even at increasing temperatures. The total flowering duration of the cultivars ranged from 31 to 115 days (mean 90.4 days) and was significantly positively correlated with temperature. Meteorological conditions significantly influenced individual flowering stages (FS) and a trend of changes concerning the long-term gradient was observed: the increase in temperature extended FS10 and shortened FS25, FS50, and FS75 but did not affect FS100. If the warming trend continues, the abundant flowering of roses may be shortened considerably. Rose cultivars with the longest flowering period at FS10 abundance may adapt better to rising temperatures, and, therefore may be more useful in landscape planning and management.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Flowering Phenology of Shrub Roses as a Sensitive Indicator of Meteorological Variability in Central Europe

Włodarczyk,

Ziernicka-Wojtaszek,

Kędzior

et al. 2023

Journal of Horticultural Research

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Significant phenological response of forest tree species to climate change in the Western Carpathians

Mrekaj,

Lukasová,

Rozkošný

et al. 2024

Central European Forestry Journal

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This study aims to analyse the phenological dynamics of tree species in response to changes in climatic conditions over the last two climate-normal periods (CLINO 1961−1990 and 1991−2020). We focused on the main climax tree species (Quercus species, Fagus sylvatica L., Abies alba Mill., Picea abies [L.] Karst., and Pinus mugo Turra) dominating eight altitudinal forest vegetation zones (FVZ) and alluvial forests of Western Carpathians and adjacent lowlands in Central Europe. The phenological phases analysed in this study were first leaf (BBCH11) and general leaf colouring (BBCH94) for deciduous species, and the onset of new shoots (BBCH10) for evergreen conifers. The results of partial correlations confirmed that temperature is the main driving factor explaining the shifted onset of phenological phases for the species considered. Furthermore, deciduous species growing in the lower (and warmer) FVZ showed a certain level of drought sensitivity related to the earlier BBCH94. The identified trends in phenology were species-specific and differed between the individual FVZs. The most pronounced shifts toward the earlier BBCH10 and BBCH11 were found in the upper FVZ of the vertical distribution range of species. The presented results will support our understanding of the mechanisms underlying environmental control of tree phenology. This is crucial for predicting how the growing season of trees will be constrained by climate change-induced conditions in individual FVZ.

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Temporal and Spatial Variability of Ground Frost Indices in Northeast China

Wang,

Fan,

Zhang

et al. 2024

Atmosphere

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Frost is one of the most frequent, intense, and influential agrometeorological disasters that occurs frequently in Northeast China. The study of the spatiotemporal changes of ground frost is of great significance for farmers and policymakers in Northeast China, as it can inform decisions related to crop selection, planting schedules, and the development of regional climate adaptation plans. In this study, the spatiotemporal changes of frost indices (last spring frost (LSF), first fall frost (FFF), and frost-free period (FFP)) in Northeast China were analyzed from 1961 to 2020. Then, we investigated the mutation characteristics of the frost indices and their correlation with geographical factors. The results revealed that (1) the LSF, FFF, and FFP in Northeast China were concentrated at 120–140 DOY, 260–280 DOY, and 110–170 days, respectively. The spatial distribution of frost indices exhibited significant spatial heterogeneity. (2) The LSF, FFF, and FFP showed significant trends of advancement, delay, and extension, with trends of −1.94 days/10 a, 1.72 days/10 a, and 4.21 days/10 a, respectively. (3) More than 80% of the LSF, FFF, and FFP of the sites showed trends of advancement, delay, and extension, with greater variability in the central part of Heilongjiang Province. (4) The FFF and FFP experienced an abrupt change in the late 1990s. (5) The correlation between latitude and LSF, FFF, and FFP was the strongest, with correlation coefficients of 0.77, −0.79, and −0.78, respectively. This study provides a comprehensive understanding of the changing characteristics of ground frost indices that impact agricultural production in Northeast China against the backdrop of climate change. The findings hold significant scientific value in guiding the adaptation of agricultural production layouts in Northeast China to the evolving climatic conditions.

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The effect of climate change on spring frosts and flowering of Crataegus laevigata – The indicator of the validity of the weather lore about “The Ice Saints”

Cited by 3 publications

References 38 publications

Flowering Phenology of Shrub Roses as a Sensitive Indicator of Meteorological Variability in Central Europe

Flowering Phenology of Shrub Roses as a Sensitive Indicator of Meteorological Variability in Central Europe

Significant phenological response of forest tree species to climate change in the Western Carpathians

Temporal and Spatial Variability of Ground Frost Indices in Northeast China

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