The Economic Impact of Conflicts and the Refugee Crisis in the Middle East and North Africa

Rother, Bjoern; Pierre, Gaëlle; Lombardo, Davide; Herrala, Risto; Toffano, Priscilla; Roos, Erik; Auclair, Allan N. D.; Manasseh, Karina

doi:10.5089/9781475535785.006

Cited by 43 publications

(48 citation statements)

References 39 publications

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“…Therefore, low‐skilled refugees significantly expand the supply of labour for un‐skilled occupations, lower the wage level and increase unemployment (Friedberg & Hunt, ). The migration of refugee naturally led to the process of urbanization and shift to the population demography in host countries (Rother et al., ). Additionally, countries having a high‐intensity conflict zone also recorded an average annual GDP decline of 1.4 per cent.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The recent report by Rother et al. () highlighted the economic costs of intense conflicts and persistent human displacements in Mena countries. According to them, besides the tragic loss to both humans and infrastructure, the increasing conflicts in Iraq, Libya, Yemen and the Syrian Republic have also resulted serious economic consequences, including economic slowdowns, higher inflation, fiscal deficit, financial and even institutional loss.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…According to them, besides the tragic loss to both humans and infrastructure, the increasing conflicts in Iraq, Libya, Yemen and the Syrian Republic have also resulted serious economic consequences, including economic slowdowns, higher inflation, fiscal deficit, financial and even institutional loss. Not only that, another serious impact of these conflicts is their contagion effects on neighbouring countries including Jordan, Tunisia, Turkey and Lebanon and more importantly, their significant spillovers to broader Middle East and even to European regions (Rother et al., , p.5). Their study also showed that, owing to quite a high number of refugees, these countries are facing threats to their economic confidence and security as well as their institutional arrangements; and their capacity to bring about policy reforms is seriously affected.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

The Economic Effect of Refugee Crises on Neighbouring Host Countries: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan

Baloch

Shah

Noor³

et al. 2017

International Migration

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There is a considerable debate in terms of opportunities and challenges about the presence of refugees in the neighbouring host countries. Most of the existing discourse has focused only on their humanitarian and security implications. This article, on the other hand, seeks to uncover this issue through a purely economic lens, focusing on the economic impact of more than three million Afghan refugees in Pakistan. Utilizing data for the period 1979–2014 and the ARDL bounds testing approach, we arrive at few important conclusions. The empirical results indicate that Afghan refugees have a strong negative impact on economic growth in Pakistan. The effect holds in both the short run and the long run, suggesting that the influx of refugees lowers real economic activity in the country. Ultimately, the study implies that hosting refugees can never be a boon to Pakistan's economy.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The Economic Effect of Refugee Crises on Neighbouring Host Countries: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan

Baloch

Shah

Noor³

et al. 2017

International Migration

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“…According to the IMF's estimations, countries bordering a high-intensity conflict zone recorded an average annual GDP decline of 1.4 percentage points. Moreover, high-intensity conflicts are also associated with higher inflation rates in neighboring countries (Rother et al 2016). The third impact is that of the sheer influx of people into host countries.…”

Section: Labor Market Integrationmentioning

confidence: 99%

Forced migrants: labour market integration and entrepreneurship

Sak¹,

Kaymaz²,

Kadkoy³

et al. 2018

Economics

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In 2015, worldwide forced displacement was at its highest recorded level, surpassing 65 million. Out of this number, nearly 20 million people are those who fled their countries of origin to seek refuge in third countries. International responsibility sharing in terms of hosting the historical levels of refugee flows has so far been inadequate. Today, lowerand upper-middle income countries host 65 percent of the world's refugees, mostly in urban settings. Whereas refugee camps provide access to basic needs such as shelter, food and healthcare, displaced individuals living in urban settings have to sustain their needs through their own means. In turn, this requires access to labor market.(Published as Global Solutions Paper) JEL J15 J61

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“…Conflict and war in countries across the world has driven the worst migration crises since WWII, with the number of refugees exceeding 25 million (Rother et al, ; United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, ). Unlike “migrants” who are able to freely travel and return home, “refugees” are people who have “a well‐founded fear of persecution for reasons of race, religion, nationality, political opinion or membership in a particular social group” (UNHCR, ).…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%