The Economic Impact of AIDS in an African Country: Simulations with a Computable General Equilibrium Model of Cameroon1

The Macro Implications of HIV/AIDS in South Africa: A Preliminary Assessment

“…For example, it is widely believed that per capita GDP increased substantially for survivors of the bubonic plague in medieval Europe. Early analyses of the economic impact of AIDS in Africa, such as Kambou, Devarajan, and Over (1992), found per capita income largely unchanged in AIDS versus no-AIDS scenarios. More recently, the result of a negligible impact on per capita GDP has been found for Botswana (BIDPA, 2000).…”

“…In a recent book, Whiteside and Sunter (2000) focus on the implications of the epidemic for South Africa. The LoveLife foundation, with financial support from the Kaiser Family Foundation and analysis prepared by Abt Associates (2000) and Metropolitan Life, has prepared a resource book on the demographic and economic ramifications of the epidemic, which was distributed to readers of one of the major national business newspapers in 8 See, for example, Cuddington (1993) for a macro model of Tanzania incorporating AIDS effects, and Kambou, Devarajan, and Over (1992) for a CGE model of Cameroon. This analysis included some of the same channels we focus on here, but because less was understood at that time about the magnitude and attributes of the epidemic (e.g.…”

Negative Reality of the HIV Positives: Evaluating Welfare Loss in a Low Prevalence Country

“…Table 11 reports the various disaggregates of the money equivalent expressions given in equation (13). 29,30 From Table 11 it is clear that the differences in (Table 7) and emphasize the role of mental health in our analysis.…”

“…It is lower than Y reported in this table. 30 In Table 11 we consider only those family types that are significant in the welfare loss regression reported in Table 10. married families with school-age children, out of the welfare loss of Rs.…”

AIDS And Dualism : Ethiopia's Burden Under Rational Expectations

“…A few country-specific studies are based on computable general equilibrium models (Kambou, Devarajan and Over, 1992;Arndt and Lewis, 2001;and Arndt, 2003). Their dynamic structure is similar to that of the standard neoclassical growth model, but they go a step in the direction of realism by allowing some sectoral disaggregation of GDP, and hence of disproportionate effects across sectors (those that use factors which 5 are more heavily affected by the epidemic tend to contract).…”