The Economic Effects of the Sri Lankan Civil War

Grobar, Lisa M.; Gnanaselvam, Shiranthi

doi:10.1086/452017

Cited by 43 publications

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“…He then uses the previously mentioned ICOR to calculate the impact the conflict has on GDP through the capital stock. This contribution suffers from a similar caveat as the previously mentioned study by Grobar and Gnanaselvam's (1993).…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 64%

“…A comparison of the results of the different papers requires a comparison of the methodologies employed and of which costs the authors aim to include. Grobar and Gnanaselvam (1993) develop their model with the hypothesis in mind that missing investment due to increased military expenditures hinders economic development. Their basic idea is that military expenditures crowd out capital investment.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In addition to these accounting tabulations, they also estimate forgone GDP growth by performing a counterfactual analysis using projections of pre-conflict trends. Kelegama (1999) calculates the costs of forgone investment and production opportunities based on military expenditure in a similar way to Grobar and Gnanaselvam (1993). In addition to that, he considers temporary losses in production and tourism as a result of destruction and insecurity by calculating the service value of destroyed assets as well as projections of potential tourism on basis of previous tourism revenues.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

How Many Bucks in a Bang: On the Estimation of the Economic Costs of Conflict

2009

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Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 64%

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

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How Many Bucks in a Bang: On the Estimation of the Economic Costs of Conflict

2009

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“…Despite the attention given to the Levant war, this is the first paper to undertake a systematic general equilibrium assessment of the war's regional and country‐specific economic effects, factoring in both the effects of war and the associated disintegration of regional trade. The paper is related to and combines features of two distinct literatures – on trade reform and restrictions (Trela and Whalley, ; De Melo and Winters, ; Yang et al., ; Ianchovichina and Martin, ; Anderson et al., ; Walmsley et al., ) and on natural disasters and wars (Grobar and Gnanselvam, ; Collier, ; Rose and Liao, ; Okuyama, ). Grobar and Gnanselvam () use a case study approach relying on national accounts data to examine the economic effects of the Sri Lankan civil war and the potential future costs associated with a continuation of the conflict.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Economic Effects of the Syrian War and the Spread of the Islamic State on the Levant

Ianchovichina¹,

Ivanic

2016

World Economy

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This paper uses a global computable general equilibrium framework with new detail on six Levant countries – the Arab Republic of Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Lebanon, the Syrian Arab Republic and Turkey – to quantify the direct and indirect economic effects of the Syrian war and the advance of the Islamic State on the Levant. Syria and Iraq bear the brunt of the direct economic costs, while the other Levant countries lose in per capita but not in aggregate terms as the inflows of refugees increase the size of their populations. The war has undermined progress towards deeper regional trade integration, thus adding to varying degrees to the direct costs sustained by the Levant economies and, in the cases of Syria and Iraq, doubling their welfare losses. All Levant countries are foregoing opportunities to expand intra‐Levant trade and the associated gains in economic efficiency. The average welfare effects are not indicative of the distributional effects of war within countries.

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“…), which was used by the southern revolutionary youth movement uprising in the late 1980s under the banner of Janatha Vimukthi Peramuna (JVP), provides a good example of civil unrest aroused by regional inequality and lack of economic and employment opportunities in regional economies (Sri Lanka, Presidential Commision of Youth, 1990;Hasbullah and Morrison, 2004;Karnik, 2002;Yeung and Lin, 2003). Even though the armed struggle of the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE), commonly known as the Tamil Tigers, for a separate state in the northern and eastern parts of Sri Lanka is widely viewed as a terrorism problem, regional economic disparities that prevented equitable access to opportunities generated by national economic development following the opening up of the economy in 1977 is often acknowledged to be a major cause of it (Abeyratne, 2004;Grobar and Gnanaselvam, 1993;Arunathilake, Jayasooriya and Kelegama, 2001;Dhananjayan, 2005).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Regional disparities in Sri Lanka: An empirical analysis

Wijerathna¹,

Bandara²,

Smith³

et al. 2015

Asia-Pacific Development Journal

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To effectively implement the proposed United Nations development agenda beyond 2015, Governments will need to focus on reducing inequality in their national planning strategies. In order to provide an evidence base for such planning in the Sri Lankan context, a systematic and comprehensive analysis on regional inequality is required. The present study begins to undertake this type of analysis using summary sigma convergence statistics, such as the coefficient of variation, the Gini coefficient and mean deviation scores. Regional gross domestic product (GDP) per capita data for the period 1996 to 2011 reveal that inequality with respect to this welfare indicator is considerable. Analysis of trends, over this 16-year period, indicates that while some beta convergence has occurred since 2000, this convergence (both conditional and unconditional) is not statistically significant. Indeed, the results suggest that based on current trends, it will take 15 years to halve the current inequality and about 30 years to achieve a regionally balanced economy. In this context, well-planned regionally inclusive development strategies are needed in order for Sri Lanka to move forward, especially since the current levels of regional disparity are argued by some to have contributed to the civil unrest and conflict that led to a reduction in national economic development over the three decades to 2009.

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The Economic Effects of the Sri Lankan Civil War

Cited by 43 publications

References 0 publications

How Many Bucks in a Bang: On the Estimation of the Economic Costs of Conflict

How Many Bucks in a Bang: On the Estimation of the Economic Costs of Conflict

Economic Effects of the Syrian War and the Spread of the Islamic State on the Levant

Regional disparities in Sri Lanka: An empirical analysis

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