The dynamics of welfare entry and exit amongst natives and immigrants

Wunder, Christoph; Riphahn, Regina T.

doi:10.1093/oep/gpt025

Cited by 30 publications

(31 citation statements)

References 40 publications

(44 reference statements)

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“…Several other studies in economics have used this approach recently, e.g., Geishecker and Siedler (2011), Wunder and Riphahn (2014) and Boll et al (2016) Using the same methods, we also investigated the impact of diabetes on changes in the type of work for those already employed, finding no evidence that diabetes leads to changes in the type of work. These results are also available on request.…”

Section: Duration Of Self-reported Diabetesmentioning

confidence: 99%

The impact of diabetes on labour market outcomes in Mexico: A panel data and biomarker analysis

Seuring

Serneels

Suhrcke

2019

Social Science & Medicine

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Background to series CHE Discussion Papers (DPs) began publication in 1983 as a means of making current research material more widely available to health economists and other potential users. So as to speed up the dissemination process, papers were originally published by CHE and distributed by post to a worldwide readership. The CHE Research Paper series takes over that function and provides access to current research output via web-based publication, although hard copy will continue to be available (but subject to charge). Further copies Copies of this paper are freely available to download from the CHE website www.york.ac.uk/che/publications/ Access to downloaded material is provided on the understanding that it is intended for personal use. Copies of downloaded papers may be distributed to third-parties subject to the proviso that the CHE publication source is properly acknowledged and that such distribution is not subject to any payment.

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Section: Duration Of Self-reported Diabetesmentioning

confidence: 99%

The impact of diabetes on labour market outcomes in Mexico: A panel data and biomarker analysis

Seuring

Serneels

Suhrcke

2019

Social Science & Medicine

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“…Survey data usually provide information on benefit receipt at the time of interview. Where this is the case, researchers have usually opted for a ‘point‐in‐time’ approach by modelling benefit transitions from one annual interview to the next, implicitly assuming that the transition probabilities remain unaffected by whether an individual received any payments in between those dates (Cappellari and Jenkins, ; Riphahn and Wunder, ; Königs, ; Wunder and Riphahn, ) . Administrative records by contrast often contain data on the total amount of benefits received during the calendar year but no information on the timing of receipt.…”

Section: Institutional Background and Datamentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The recent work on welfare benefit dynamics has primarily relied on estimation of dynamic discrete‐choice models to study state dependence in benefit receipt . Due to the limited availability of individual‐level data on welfare benefit receipt at shorter observation intervals much of the evidence on state dependence in welfare benefit receipt is based on annual data that come either from administrative sources (see Hansen and Lofstrom, , ; or Andrén and Andrén, for Sweden) or from household survey data (Cappellari and Jenkins, for Britain; Riphahn and Wunder, ; Wunder and Riphahn, and Königs, for Germany; Hansen et al ., for Canada). Notable exceptions are two U.S. studies based on monthly administrative data from California (Chay et al ., ) and four‐monthly survey data (Chay and Hyslop, ), and a study of transitions between Australian benefit programmes based on quarterly data (Gong, ).…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Time Aggregation and State Dependence in Welfare Receipt

Bhuller

Brinch

Königs

2017

The Economic Journal

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Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. Dynamic discrete-choice models are an important tool in studies of state dependence in benefit receipt. A common assumption of such models is that benefit receipt sequences follow a conditional Markov process. This property has implications for how estimated periodto-period benefit transition probabilities should relate when receipt processes are aggregated over time. This paper assesses whether the conditional Markov property holds in welfare benefit receipt dynamics in Norway using high-quality monthly data from administrative records. We find that the standard conditional Markov model is seriously misspecified. Estimated state dependence is affected substantially by the chosen time unit of analysis, with the average treatment effect of past benefit receipt increasing with the level of aggregation. The model can be improved considerably by permitting richer types of benefit dynamics: We find strong evidence for both duration and occurrence dependence in benefit receipt. Allowing for heterogeneity in the entry and persistence processes, we find important disparities in the effects of observed and persistent unobserved characteristics. Based on our preferred model, the month-to-month persistence probability in benefit receipt for a first-time entrant is 37 percentage points higher than the entry rate of an individual without previous benefit receipt. Over a 12-month period, this corresponds to an average treatment effect of 5 percentage points. Terms of use: Documents in D I S C U S S I O N P A P E R S E R I E SJEL Classification: I38, J60, J64, C23, C41

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“…For example, a study for Germany found little evidence for state dependence in welfare dependency [11]. This suggests that incentive problems are not the only mechanisms behind poverty trap dynamics.…”

Section: Martin Biewenmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The studies cited here cover specific time periods, some of which are more recent than others. Some use data up the middle of the first decade of the 2000s [4], [7], [9], [10], [11]; others use data from the 1990s or early 2000s [1], [2], [5], [6], [8], [12], [13] or even from the 1980s or earlier [3].…”

Section: Limitations and Gapsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Poverty persistence and poverty dynamics

Biewen¹

2014

izawol

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Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. Terms of use: Documents in ProsA considerable part of poverty measured in a single period is transitory rather than persistent. Distinguishing between temporary and persistent poverty is important as economic policy should focus on preventing persistent poverty. Understanding characteristics of the persistently poor and events associated with entry and exit into poverty are important for informing anti-poverty policies. The characteristics of the persistently poor are often different from those of the currently poor. It is relevant for economic policy to know whether poverty persistence is due to individual characteristics or to poverty-trap mechanisms (being poor today increases the risk of being poor in the future). eLeVatOr PitCHA considerable part of the poverty that is measured in a single period is transitory rather than persistent. In most countries, only a portion of people who are currently poor are persistently poor. People who are persistently poor or who cycle into and out of poverty should be the main focus of anti-poverty policies. Understanding the characteristics of the persistently poor, and the circumstances and mechanisms associated with entry into and exit from poverty, can help to inform governments about options to reduce persistent poverty. Differences in poverty persistence across countries can shed additional light on possible sources of poverty persistence. aUtHOr'S Main MeSSaGeNot all people who are poor are persistently poor. Evidence suggests that unemployment, retirement, and single parenthood are closely associated with persistent poverty and that higher education tends to protect against it. There is also evidence of a poverty trap, meaning that policy should aim to prevent people from falling into poverty because once poor, the probability of being poor in the future increases. Policies that promote education, employment, and attachment to work will be most effective in reducing persistent poverty, along with policies that strengthen family and job stability (such as childcare subsidies). ConsHow to weight aspects of poverty persistence such as duration, intensity, and recurrence is unclear. It is difficult econometrically to separate poverty persistence due to individual characteristics from that due to poverty-trap mechanisms. Identifying events associated with poverty entry and exit can inform policies, but a large share of entries and exits cannot be clearly characterized in terms of individual events. There are commo...

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The dynamics of welfare entry and exit amongst natives and immigrants

Cited by 30 publications

References 40 publications

The impact of diabetes on labour market outcomes in Mexico: A panel data and biomarker analysis

The impact of diabetes on labour market outcomes in Mexico: A panel data and biomarker analysis

Time Aggregation and State Dependence in Welfare Receipt

Poverty persistence and poverty dynamics

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