The dynamics of candidate evaluations and vote choice in 2008: looking to the past or future?

Elis, Roy; Hillygus, D. Sunshine; Nie, Norman H.

doi:10.1016/j.electstud.2010.04.005

Cited by 16 publications

(12 citation statements)

References 15 publications

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“…Her adequate, although not impressive, favorability ratings at the start of the general election quickly and substantially decreased throughout most of the campaign, causing a drag on the Republicans' chances of winning the presidential election in 2008. Elis, Hillygus, and Nie (2010) utilize data from the Associated Press-Yahoo News 2008 election panel study and also find evidence of a substantive Palin effect. Using counterfactual simulations to model the aggregate vote based on when Palin's favorability ratings were at the highest, they conclude that "Palin's declining favorability cost McCain 1.6 percentage points on Election Day" (Elis, Hillygus, and Nie 2010, 8).…”

Section: The "Palin Effect" Compared With Prior Vice-presidential Nommentioning

confidence: 98%

RETRACTED: Comments on “Reconsidering the ‘Palin Effect’”

Knuckey

2013

Political Research Quarterly

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Section: The "Palin Effect" Compared With Prior Vice-presidential Nommentioning

confidence: 98%

RETRACTED: Comments on “Reconsidering the ‘Palin Effect’”

Knuckey

2013

Political Research Quarterly

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“…Palin’s press coverage not only became more negative over time, it also became more influential. By pairing press coverage with public opinion data, we thus extend the work of Elis et al (2010), Entman (2010), and Kenski et al (2010).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 69%

Press Effects, Public Opinion, and Gender

Miller

Peake

2013

The International Journal of Press/Politics

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The press had great potential to influence perceptions of Sarah Palin during the 2008 campaign, given her relative obscurity when picked to be the Republican vice-presidential nominee. Prior literature on press treatment of women running for national office suggests that Palin was likely to receive coverage that disadvantaged her due to her gender. We scrutinize press coverage of Palin’s campaign for evidence that she was treated differently and that these differences affected public opinion. Our sample of over 2,500 individual newspaper articles published during the campaign is paired with the 2008 National Annenberg Election Survey. We demonstrate that Palin’s coverage differed in significant ways from that of her male counterpart. Her gender, appearance, and family status were disproportionately mentioned in her coverage, and such mentions tended to dampen public opinion about her. In addition, the tone of Palin’s coverage was markedly negative, increasingly so over time, and was significantly related to reader opinion about her. While Palin was a unique candidate for national-level office, these findings should give pause to those concerned with equitable press treatment of women on the campaign trail.

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“…In line with the conventional postelection narrative and other research on the "Palin Effect" (see Elis, Hillygus, and Nie 2010), the article concludes that Palin hurt McCain among key moderate and independent voters. 1 Specifically, the article makes three claims.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 58%

Reconsidering the “Palin Effect” in the 2008 U.S. Presidential Election

Burmila

Ryan

2013

Political Research Quarterly

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“The ‘Palin Effect’ in the U.S. 2008 Presidential Election” analyzes the effect of Sarah Palin on presidential vote choice. Two of the substantive conclusions are (1) Palin cost McCain votes among independents and moderates, and (2) Palin had the largest effect on vote choice of any recent vice-presidential nominee. Our analysis shows that the data do not support these findings. We find that respondent evaluations of Palin have a positive effect on McCain vote choice, even among independents and moderates, and Palin’s effect on the election outcome is comparable with ten of the last fifteen vice-presidential nominees.

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The dynamics of candidate evaluations and vote choice in 2008: looking to the past or future?

Cited by 16 publications

References 15 publications

RETRACTED: Comments on “Reconsidering the ‘Palin Effect’”

RETRACTED: Comments on “Reconsidering the ‘Palin Effect’”

Press Effects, Public Opinion, and Gender

Reconsidering the “Palin Effect” in the 2008 U.S. Presidential Election

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