The dynamic nationalisation of voting for United Russia: the stability / instability of regional deviations from national results

Panov, Petr; Ross, Cameron

doi:10.1080/21599165.2017.1415886

Cited by 10 publications

(2 citation statements)

References 24 publications

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“…регионы демонстрировали мощные партийно-электоральные различия, во многих субъектах РФ возникали региональные партии, а где-то и специфические партийные системы, как это было в Свердловской области. Правда, после того как законодатель потребовал от партий иметь региональные отделения в не менее чем половине субъектов РФ, региональные партии в России исчезли, а по мере выстраивания вертикали власти значительно возросла степень национализации партийной системы (Golosov, 2015;Panov & Ross, 2018). Однако кроссрегиональные вариации в голосовании, а если подходить более широко, то и в региональных политических режимах, сохраняются, являясь предметом многих исследований (см., например, Гайворонский, 2015;Туровский, 2012;Ross, 2011;Saikkonen, 2016 и др.…”

Section: политическое пространство в современном государствеunclassified

Historical Specificity of Russian Regions: An Instrument for the Analysis of Political Space Heterogeneity

Kiryanov¹,

Panov²

2022

Вест. ПГУ. Полит.

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Despite the trend toward homogenization of the political space, which serves as characteristic of modern nation-states, cross-regional differences persist, and sometimes even intensify. For that reason, the question arises why some regions almost do not deviate from national political trends, while in others a specific electoral landscape, special party systems, regionalist parties develop. Explaining these differences, researchers, as a rule, rely on social-economic, cultural, geographical and historical features of the regions. At the same time, large-N comparative studies require the quantitative measurement of cross-regional differences, and it is most problematic to find indicators that reflect the historical specificity of the regions. In the article, based on a tool developed for the comparative analysis of Western European regions, an original scale is proposed for quantitative measurement of the uniqueness of the history of Russian regions - the index of the specifics of political history (ISPI). This instrument is tested on the empirical material of such manifestations of the heterogeneity of the Russian political space as the intensity of regionalism in the early 1990s and the heterogeneity of the party-electoral landscape in 2000s. The analysis finds that history matters, and the proposed index is a promising tool for cross-regional comparative studies.

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Section: политическое пространство в современном государствеunclassified

Historical Specificity of Russian Regions: An Instrument for the Analysis of Political Space Heterogeneity

Kiryanov¹,

Panov²

2022

Вест. ПГУ. Полит.

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“…Петр Панов и Кэмерон Росс пришли к выводу, что авторитаризм является ключевой объясняющей переменной. Более сильные авторитарные правители способны контролировать региональные элиты и обеспечивать наилучшие результаты для «партии власти», оказывая административное давление на избирателей, что снижает уровень волатильности в поддержке партии (Panov and Ross, 2019;Panov and Ross, 2018). Во-вторых, исследования показывают, что существенные различия в моделях электорального доминирования «Единой России» в региональных парламентах зависят от конфигурации региональных элит и их стратегий (Panov and Ross, 2013).…”

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Regional Variations of Voting for «united Russia»: The Role of Regional Heads

Muhametov¹

2021

Bulletin of Perm University. Political Science

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According to the results of the 2016 Duma elections, “United Russia” received 54.2% of the vote under the proportional system. In the regional context, the spread of votes was between 35.19% (in the Altai Territory) and 96.29% (in the Chechen Republic). What causes regional disparities in the vote for the United Russia party? This article aims to find an answer to the above question. In this study, the concept of a regional political machine and the thesis about the ability of regional heads to ensure higher electoral results of the "party in power" are tested. Statistical calculations were performed using binary logistic regression. The regression analysis carried out by the author showed that none of the hypotheses was fully confirmed. Of the six regression models, only three were significant. Each new head of the region in the corps of heads of regional branches of the party added 13% to "United Russia" in the Duma elections in 2011 and 2007. In 2016, an increase in the number of governors in the first places of the regional groups of the federal list of candidates of the "party of power" by 1 unit would lead to an increase in the electoral result by 18%.

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Patterns of Competitiveness in Russian Gubernatorial Elections

Eichhorn,

Linhart

2024

Int J Polit Cult Soc

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Competitiveness in electoral authoritarian regimes is compromised by management of the electoral arena through various kinds of manipulation. This study links two dimensions of competitiveness, namely fairness and contestation. We analyze the regional heterogeneity of both dimensions for Russian gubernatorial elections held between 2012 and 2019. To assess competitiveness, we use crowd-sourced electoral observation reports and data from the Central Election Commission. Our analysis reveals significant regional variation in both dimensions. Nevertheless, opposition victories are rare and only occur in exceptional cases. Low levels of electoral malpractices seem to be a necessary but not sufficient condition for close election results. Windows of opportunity for the opposition arise only if the regime misperceives the closeness of the race and if the opposition nominates prominent candidates. Overall, these findings shed light on the complex factors influencing the competitiveness of elections in electoral authoritarian regimes like Russia.

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The dynamic nationalisation of voting for United Russia: the stability / instability of regional deviations from national results

Cited by 10 publications

References 24 publications

Historical Specificity of Russian Regions: An Instrument for the Analysis of Political Space Heterogeneity

Historical Specificity of Russian Regions: An Instrument for the Analysis of Political Space Heterogeneity

Regional Variations of Voting for «united Russia»: The Role of Regional Heads

Patterns of Competitiveness in Russian Gubernatorial Elections

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