“…Yet recent transitions in Ecuador in 2003, Bangladesh in 2009 and Niger in 2011 all quickly followed military coups, matching an earlier pattern in Panama, Portugal, Bolivia, Thailand, and elsewhere. Indeed, recent empirical work argues that coups within autocracy raise the ensuing likelihood of democratization (Miller, 2012(Miller, , 2016Thyne and Powell, 2016;Varol, 2012). In particular, Thyne and Powell (2016) find that both coups and coup attempts predict democratization from 1950-2008. In a recent reconsideration of the evidence, Derpanopoulos et al (2016) (hereafter, DFGW) dispute the idea that coups predict democratization.…”