1991
DOI: 10.1080/09537329108524065
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The delphi technique: an exposition and application

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Cited by 164 publications
(120 citation statements)
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“…Several studies have shown that the practical number of rounds or iterations usually needed is between two and three (Mitchell, 1991;Gallego et al, 2008) in order to reach consensus. The rounds generally proceed as follows:…”
Section: The Delphi Method: Theory and General Characteristicsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Several studies have shown that the practical number of rounds or iterations usually needed is between two and three (Mitchell, 1991;Gallego et al, 2008) in order to reach consensus. The rounds generally proceed as follows:…”
Section: The Delphi Method: Theory and General Characteristicsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The modifi cation of the Delphi process used here, which considers prior information through a series of interviews before beginning the Delphi, is called SEER -System for Event Evaluation and Review. 32 In the fi rst phase, all the Delphi panelists were personally interviewed and asked to respond to a questionnaire consisting of fi ve…”
Section: The Study Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Several studies identified that most changes in Delphi response occurred in the first two rounds and the forecast error decreased over successive iterations, "but the decrease between round 1 and 3 was only 10%" (Mitchell, 1991). Therefore, in this research only two rounds were used due to time constrains.…”
Section: The Research Toolmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Thus, Powell (2003) argued that it was important for the panel members to be willing and able to make valid contribution, Chan et al (2001) said that experts should have extensive working experience in that respective field, to be currently, recently or directly involved in the management, while Mitchell (1991) stressed the significant involvement in the industry of the experts, both in the past and in the present.…”
Section: Selecting the Expertsmentioning
confidence: 99%