2005
DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2036.2005.02536.x
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The cost‐effectiveness of biomarkers for predicting the development of oesophageal adenocarcinoma

Abstract: SUMMARYBackground: The recommended surveillance strategy for oesophageal adenocarcinoma may prevent as few as 50% of cancer deaths. Tissue biomarkers have been proposed to identify high-risk patients. Aim: To determine performance characteristics of an ideal biomarker, or panel of biomarkers, that would make its use more cost-effective than the current surveillance strategy. Methods: We created a Markov model using data from published literature, and performed a cost-utility analysis. The population consisted … Show more

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Cited by 24 publications
(14 citation statements)
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“…Future research including evaluation of genetic markers to determine cancer risk (31,32) and biomarkers of progression (33,34) may also permit selection of higher-risk groups for endoscopic surveillance or treatment. We make no recommendation to proceed with routine use of biomarkers in practice, but the adoption of these markers in specialist centers could be considered.…”
Section: Commentarymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Future research including evaluation of genetic markers to determine cancer risk (31,32) and biomarkers of progression (33,34) may also permit selection of higher-risk groups for endoscopic surveillance or treatment. We make no recommendation to proceed with routine use of biomarkers in practice, but the adoption of these markers in specialist centers could be considered.…”
Section: Commentarymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Good candidate technologies include those targeted at improving patient outcomes and reducing costs through identification of which patients will benefit more from effective high-cost treatments or surveillance for diseases with high morbidity or mortality. An example of this early modeling approach is provided by 2 cost-effectiveness studies related to hypothetical testing technology for patient risk stratification of Barrett's esophagus (BE) to identify those at higher risk for developing esophageal cancer [27,28]. In the US, about two-thirds of new esophageal cancer cases are adenocarcinoma (EAC), with the remaining one-third being squamous cell carcinoma [29].…”
Section: Overview Of Opportunity For Economic Evaluations To Inform Dmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Perceived risk plays a role in adherence to recommended surveillance [32], so a tool that better defines risk could contribute to improved adherence. The high cost and limited effectiveness of BE surveillance combined with the benefits of early diagnosis and treatment of EAC create a substantial opportunity to improve cost-effectiveness by stratifying the risk of progression to cancer and targeting more intensive surveillance to those at high risk [27]. Two cost-effectiveness studies used Markov models to synthesize evidence on incidence, transition states (BE, dysplasia, cancer and death) and costs, and found hypothetical strategies to be cost-effective based on estimated US cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) ratios.…”
Section: Overview Of Opportunity For Economic Evaluations To Inform Dmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Computer modeling suggests that a strategy of intensive surveillance guided by a novel biomarker would be more cost-effective than the current strategy of dysplasia-guided surveillance if the novel marker was as little as 80% sensitive and 80% specific for the progression to cancer [40]. A marker that is 95% specific for progression to cancer could be used to select patients for prophylactic esophagectomy.…”
Section: Novel Markers Of Risk Of Progressionmentioning
confidence: 99%