The Competitiveness Factor in Transport Work Forecasting for the Regional Transportation Market

Abstract

The transport system development in Russia is focused on transportation indicators increasing and infrastructure quality. It will ensure the growth of macroeconomic parameters. The article shows the review of some calculation approaches connected with planning parameters of road transportation demand taking into account the competitive advantages of transportation enterprises. The competitiveness of road transportation enterprises is presented in the article as a multi-level and multi-criteria indicator. The methods for predicting the regional demand for cargo transportation are proposed in the article. They are completed on the total and incomplete certainty using the extrapolation method. A mathematical model of the forecast demand determining for cargo transportation is presented in the article. The model can be applied in the resource management and for capacity of regional motor transport enterprises calculation based on their efficiency.