The climate change risk management matrix for the grazing industry of northern Australia

Cobon, D. H.; Stone, Grant; Scanlan, Joe C.; Toombs, Nathan; Zhang, Xike; Willcocks, J.; McKeon, Greg

doi:10.1071/rj08069

Cited by 52 publications

(36 citation statements)

References 14 publications

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“…This also makes results from modeling studies difficult to translate into actual changes in regional productivity (Ewert et al 2002;). Often, yield-determining factors such as pests and diseases and extreme events are not modeled, while these factors could be more important than changes of CO 2 levels and temperature (Porter and Semenov 2005;Cobon et al 2009;Rosenzweig et al 2002;.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact changes of climatic extremes on arable farming in the north of the Netherlands

et al. 2011

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Agriculture is vulnerable to climate change in multiple ways. Here, we use the northern region of the Netherlands as a case study to explore how risk assessments for climate change impacts on crop production can address multiple vulnerabilities. We present a methodology, which we call agro climate calendar (ACC) that (i) includes potential yield losses, as well as loss of product quality, and (ii) assesses the risks of a variety of climate factors including weather extremes and the emergence and abundance of pests and diseases. Climate factors are defined for two time slices: 1990 (1976-2005) and 2040 (2026-2055); the frequency of occurrence of the factors is compared for the two periods, and the resulting frequency shifts are presented in a crop calendar on a monthly basis. This yields an indication of the magnitude and direction of changes in climatic conditions that can lead to damage by extreme events and pests and diseases. We present results for the two most important crops in the region, seed potato, and winter wheat. The results provide a good overview of risks from climate factors, and the most important threats and opportunities are identified. This semi-quantitative approach is firmly rooted in farm management, which is the level where operational and strategic decisions are made. Thus, the approach is well suited to assist local stakeholders such as farmers and policy makers to explore farm-level adaptation. This work is complementary to previous modeling work that focused mainly on the relation between mean climate change factors (i.e., temperature) and crop yield.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact changes of climatic extremes on arable farming in the north of the Netherlands

et al. 2011

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“…Adaptation measures are of critical importance because the weather patterns have already changed and the changes are expected to continue even if mitigation measures are immediately put into place (Cobon et al, 2009). Without adaptation strategies, climate change is very undesirable to the agricultural sector, but with adaptation, vulnerability can be greatly reduced (Jiri et al, 2015).…”

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confidence: 99%

Farmer Knowledge of Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Strategies in the Management of Vegetable Insect Pests in Zimbabwe

Katsaruware-Chapoto¹,

Mafongoya²,

Gubba³

2017

JAS

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Farmer knowledge of insect pests' risks in a changing climate is important in managing insect pests' incidence. A total of 250 vegetable farmers from 5 wards in Zimbabwe were sampled using a semi-structured questionnaire to assess their knowledge on climate change risk, its impact on vegetable insects pests and management strategies to reduce the increased incidence of insect pests. Focus group discussions, key informant interviews and field observations were also used. Droughts and elevated temperatures were perceived to have the greatest impact on vegetable insect pests resulting in their increased incidence. Aphids, cutworms and whiteflies were identified among the major pests that have increased. The majority (53%) of the farmers cited high vegetable losses from insect pests attack. All the respondents (100%) revealed the use of chemical insecticides during production of vegetables. A higher proportion (60%) perceived effective control, 34% perceived reduced efficacy and 6% were not sure of effectiveness of chemical insecticides. Management strategies to cope with the increasing insect pests and diseases on vegetable production also included planting insect resistant cultivars, certified seeds, increased frequency of application of synthetic insecticides, insecticide mixtures, use of more hazardous chemical insecticides and increasing the rates of application resulting in insecticide overuse. There is need for government to facilitate development and adoption of Integrated Insect Pest Management (IIPM) and raise awareness on avoiding overdependence on chemical insecticides. Modelling tools that support adaptation planning needs to be developed to forecast climate change risk and the resultant incidence of insect pests.

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“…This led to the development of the vulnerability and risk management framework by researchers in the Australian Greenhouse Office (AGO) in 2006 [41]. This method has been used in the development of climate change risk and vulnerability assessments in Australia and Canada [42,43]. The method employs a multi-stressor approach with fewer resources and, training time requirements in assessments [42,43].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…This method has been used in the development of climate change risk and vulnerability assessments in Australia and Canada [42,43]. The method employs a multi-stressor approach with fewer resources and, training time requirements in assessments [42,43]. It also identifies a more comprehensive variety of adaptations characteristically explored by researchers to deliver a simple, hands-on and representative assessment of risk and vulnerability [13,[42][43][44][45].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The method employs a multi-stressor approach with fewer resources and, training time requirements in assessments [42,43]. It also identifies a more comprehensive variety of adaptations characteristically explored by researchers to deliver a simple, hands-on and representative assessment of risk and vulnerability [13,[42][43][44][45]. We argue that a framework that considers the full process of vulnerability and adaptation will better integrate adaptation to climate change at the meso and micro levels for effective coastal zone management.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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The Climate Change Vulnerability and Risk Management Matrix for the Coastal Zone of The Gambia

Amuzu

Jallow²,

Kabo-bah

et al. 2018

Hydrology

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Global Climate Change is one of the dire challenges facing the international community today. Coastal zones are vulnerable to its impacts. An effective approach with long-term prospects in addressing climate change impacts is it's mainstreaming into development agenda of sectoral policies. A comprehensive risk and vulnerability assessment is a pre-requisite to ensure that the right adaptive response is taken for effective integration into developmental plans. The objective of this study is to evaluate and prioritize risks, vulnerability and adaptation issues of current and anticipated impacts of climate change on the coastal zone of The Gambia. The study will also give a methodological contribution for assessing risks, vulnerability and adaptation from the sub-national to local levels. The relevance of this study will be to create a link between the sub-national and local levels in order to facilitate the integration and mainstreaming of climate change into sectoral and local policies for more climate-resilient communities. This will aid in the promotion of strategic investment of constrained developmental resources to actualize successfully dynamic coping strategies, elude 'maladaptation' and less compelling responsive measures. A purposive expert sampling technique was used in selecting respondents for the study. The findings of the study reveal that by the end of the 21st century, the climatic variables likely to have the highest impact on the coastal zone of The Gambia are 'increased flood severity' and 'increased temperature'. The coastal zone of The Gambia showed a high vulnerability to these climate change variables. The suggested adaptive response in addressing the impacts of increased flood intensity in the study area includes; improving regulations for restricting agriculture and livestock grazing activities to improve land cover; strengthening of early-warning systems, among others. The suggested adaptive response in addressing the increase in temperature includes: increase crop diversification and rotation to reduce total crop failure; switching to drought-tolerant crop and animal species, among others.

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The climate change risk management matrix for the grazing industry of northern Australia

Cited by 52 publications

References 14 publications

Impact changes of climatic extremes on arable farming in the north of the Netherlands

Impact changes of climatic extremes on arable farming in the north of the Netherlands

Farmer Knowledge of Climate Change Impacts and Adaptation Strategies in the Management of Vegetable Insect Pests in Zimbabwe

The Climate Change Vulnerability and Risk Management Matrix for the Coastal Zone of The Gambia

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