Most patients with thin primary cutaneous melanomas (Breslow thickness B 1 mm) have an excellent outcome, and only a minority experience tumor recurrence and death due to melanoma. [1][2][3] For example, in the American Joint Committee on Cancer database, which contains information on a large number of patients treated at many international centers, the 10-year melanoma-specific survival for patients presenting with T1 melanomas (i.e., B 1.0 mm in thickness) was 92 %. 4 In the United States, Europe, and Australia, the majority of patients with newly diagnosed cutaneous melanomas have thin tumors.5-8 Therefore, even though fewer than 10 % of patients with thin melanomas will eventually progress, this population constitutes a large number of individuals. It is clearly important to identify these higher-risk patients early in the course of their disease if possible, so that management plans appropriate for the biologic aggression of their tumors can be initiated.How do we accurately identify these high-risk patients with thin melanomas? Previous studies found that increasing Breslow thickness and mitotic rate (MR) were significantly associated with a greater risk of recurrence and death in patients with thin melanomas, but the prognostic importance of other factors such as age, sex, anatomic location, ulceration, and regression has been less consistently demonstrated. 5,6,9,10 Two recent large studies have addressed this question. One was a population-based study and the other a single-center case-control study, and in both, determinants of prognosis in patients with thin melanomas were evaluated.11,12 The results of the two studies shed new light on this clinically important matter.The population-based study analyzed 26,736 patients with thin primary melanomas from the State Cancer Registry in Queensland, Australia, and found a 96 % survival rate after 20 years of follow-up. Increasing tumor thickness and level of invasion, increasing patient age, acral lentiginous and nodular histologic subtypes, male sex, and tumor location in the head/neck region were independently associated with melanoma-specific death.
11The case-control study, which analyzed patients with thin melanomas treated at Melanoma Institute Australia (MIA, formerly the Sydney Melanoma Unit), was designed to detect differences in clinical and pathologic parameters between two groups of patients with widely disparate outcomes.12 From the MIA database, which contains details of more than 35,000 patients, 5,628 patients with single thin primary melanomas diagnosed between 1983 and 2003 were identified. Patients who developed distant metastasis (n = 178) were compared with 178 sex-matched control patients who experienced no recurrence. After a median follow-up of 111 months, 140 (79 %) of the patients with distant metastases had died of melanoma. Factors that were independently associated with poorer distant metastasis-free and melanoma-specific survival were increasing Breslow thickness (0.51-0.75 mm and [0.75-1.00 mm, compared with B0.50 mm), increasing