Background
While our previous work has shown that replacing existing vaccines
with thermostable vaccines can relieve bottlenecks in vaccine supply chains
and thus increase vaccine availability, the question remains whether this
benefit would outweigh the additional cost of thermostable formulations.
Methods
Using HERMES simulation models of the vaccine supply chains for the
Republic of Benin, the state of Bihar (India), and Niger, we simulated
replacing different existing vaccines with thermostable formulations and
determined the resulting clinical and economic impact. Costs measured
included the costs of vaccines, logistics, and disease outcomes averted.
Results
Replacing a particular vaccine with a thermostable version yielded
cost savings in many cases even when charging a price premium (two or three
times the current vaccine price). For example, replacing the current
pentavalent vaccine with a thermostable version without increasing the
vaccine price saved from $366 to $10,945 per 100 members of the
vaccine’s target population. Doubling the vaccine price still
resulted in cost savings that ranged from $300 to $10,706, and tripling the
vaccine price resulted in cost savings from $234 to $10,468. As another
example, a thermostable rotavirus vaccine (RV) at its current (year) price
saved between $131 and $1,065. Doubling and tripling the thermostable
rotavirus price resulted in cost savings ranging from $102 to $936 and $73
to $808, respectively. Switching to thermostable formulations was highly
cost-effective or cost-effective in most scenarios explored.
Conclusion
Medical cost and productivity savings could outweigh even significant
price premiums charged for thermostable formulations of vaccines, providing
support for their use.