The Agro-Climatic Change Characteristics across China during the Latest Decades

Abstract

Climate change has been highlighted over the last decades worldwide, with pronounced higher warming trends for China. Induced by climate change, to some extent, agricultural production has changed, as well as the climatic resources during the agricultural growing season. An obvious longer potential agricultural growing season (PAGS) was detected in the latest decades from 1961–2020. The spatial–temporal characteristics of change and variation of climatic resources during the PAGS were explored, utilizing comparisons of the differences in mean magnitude, standard deviation, and trends. In the period of 1991–2020 relative to 1961–1990, alterations in PAGS were characterized by increases of 0–1.5 °C in mean air temperature overall, 0.8–23.8% increases in precipitation in the southeast, northeast, and west, as well as a decrease of 2.1–10.2% in insolation in central-south regions but an increase of 0.3–6.7% in the north and west. The features were pronounced during the PAGS in the primary agricultural zones as follows: (1) Northeast China, increasing and stable temperature but unstable precipitation and insolation; (2) North, eastern-west, and Southwest China, increasing but unstable temperature, decreasing but stable precipitation as well as decreasing and unstable insolation; (3) Southeast China, increasing but unstable temperature and precipitation as well as decreasing and unstable insolation; (4) West China, increasing but unstable temperature and precipitation as well as increasing but unstable insolation. Further comparisons between agro-climatic change and climate change indicated that temperature alterations during the PAGS were less numerous while precipitation and insolation were more unstable than the changes during the whole year. These findings can assist the understanding of regional agricultural climate changes and guide agricultural production practices in response.

Characteristic Identification of Heat Exposure Based on Disaster Events for Single-Season Rice along the Middle and Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River, China

“…Even then, research results from MK test analysis of heat exposure via the investigated phenological phase still suggested that rice plants were increasingly being exposed to extreme heat with rising global mean temperatures since the 2000s, particularly with obvious increased trends in regional exposure since 2010. Moreover, such a trend would be more severe with future warming, which was consistent with the findings of previous studies [9,14,68]. In the near future, we could conduct field experiments under relevant critical temperatures at different phenological stages to verify the reliability of a critical threshold database or improve the precision of the threshold to decimal places at the region scale.…”