Terrorism, War, and Volatility in Tourist Arrivals: The Case of Lebanon

Hamadeh, Mohamad; Bassil, Charbel

doi:10.3727/108354217x15023805452086

Cited by 17 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 36 publications

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“…These results are in line with Buigut (2018) and Masinde and Buigut (2018). Due to space limitations, estimates of the remaining studies are not presented (for other countries see Afonso-Rodríguez, 2017; Bassil et al, 2015; Greenbaum and Hultquist, 2006; Hamadeh and Bassil, 2017; Karl et al, 2017; Muckley, 2011; Neumayer and Plümper, 2016; Raza and Jawaid, 2013).…”

Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 56%

The effects of terrorism on tourism demand: A systematic review

KrajÅˆák

2020

Tourism Economics

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A vast literature has focused on the effects of terrorism on tourism demand. This article aims to contribute to this strand of literature by systematically reviewing existing studies and subsequently synthesising their findings. Based on a systematic search of the Web of Science and Scopus databases, a total of 45 peer-reviewed English-language articles were included. The review was conducted and reported under Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. The general conclusion is that, with some exceptions, terrorism negatively affects tourism demand. To decompose the effects of terrorism on tourism demand, several main themes were identified within the studies. However, effects varied widely depending on context, for example, terrorism and tourism demand variables used or locations and time periods studied. Consequently, the review identifies gaps in existing research and provides important suggestions for future studies.

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Section: Resultssupporting

confidence: 56%

The effects of terrorism on tourism demand: A systematic review

KrajÅˆák

2020

Tourism Economics

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“…The paper finds that tourism demand is significantly affected in these countries by attacks that take place domestically relative to the investigated country as well as neighbouring territories. Hamadeh and Bassil [2017] analysed the impact on tourist arrivals in the Lebanon attributable to terrorism while considering the impact of the Syrian civil war, in the period between January 1995 and December 2014. The results reveal a significant negative marginal effect for terrorism on tourism demand.…”

Section: Terrorism's Impact On Aviation and Tourismmentioning

confidence: 99%

The impact of terrorism on European tourism

Corbet

O’Connell

Efthymiou

et al. 2019

Annals of Tourism Research

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This paper estimates the influence of terrorist attacks on European tourism through the short-term post-hoc response of the airline industry and passengers. We use a seasonally-adjusted ARMA-GARCH methodology on unique datasets that examine changes in tourism as measured by ASKs, seats filled and changes in both fares and revenues. Traffic flows are found to fall despite significant fare reductions; however, this response varies substantially based on the flight origin and tickettype purchased. We found that business travel slows substantially due to duty of care legislation for corporate transport. While we found evidence indicating substantial airline fare reductions, in the majority of investigated cases this response was unable to mitigate substantial reductions in passenger demand and flows across varying ticket types.

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“…The model, hence, investigates the tourism–growth nexus in Lebanon controlling for the instability caused by the Syrian crisis. In this respect, our article also adds to the growing empirical evidence on tourism and growth in Lebanon (Bassil et al, 2015; Hamadeh and Bassil, 2017; Tang and Abosedra, 2014, 2016).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 77%

Tourism–growth nexus under duress: Lebanon during the Syrian crisis

Dibeh¹,

Fakih²,

Marrouch

2019

Tourism Economics

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The Syrian crisis that started in 2011 is considered by many to have affected negatively the Lebanese economy. A possible transmission channel from the crisis to the economy of Lebanon is tourism. This article investigates the tourism–growth nexus in Lebanon controlling for the instability caused by the Syrian crisis. We use a vector autoregression model with five monthly macroeconomic variables: a novel index for income, number of tourist arrivals, number of Syrian refugees, and casualties in both Lebanon and Syria during the conflict. The results show that the Lebanese economy was resilient to the political instability engendered by the Syrian crisis. The findings support both the tourism-led growth hypothesis and the ancillary growth-led tourism hypothesis. The article concludes that the tourism sector in Lebanon is robust to the political instability engendered by the Syrian crisis.

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Terrorism, War, and Volatility in Tourist Arrivals: The Case of Lebanon

Cited by 17 publications

References 36 publications

The effects of terrorism on tourism demand: A systematic review

The effects of terrorism on tourism demand: A systematic review

The impact of terrorism on European tourism

Tourism–growth nexus under duress: Lebanon during the Syrian crisis

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