“…Particularly important is variability in precipitation and temperature, given recent drought conditions (Quiring and Goodrich, 2008), predictions of dust bowl conditions in the near future (Seager et al , 2007) and the need to better assess the links to external forcing from the Atlantic and tropical Pacific (Cole et al , 2002; Seager et al , 2008). Records spanning the Late Pleistocene and Holocene across the Southwest have revealed changes in climate such as periods of increased effective precipitation, extreme drought and/or warmer or cooler temperatures than presently occur (Benson et al , 1990; Spaulding, 1991; Menounos and Reasoner, 1997; Allen and Anderson, 2000; Holliday, 2000; Reasoner and Jodry, 2000; Forman et al , 2001; Huckleberry et al , 2001; Menking and Anderson, 2003; Polyak et al , 2004; Poore et al , 2005; Holmgren et al , 2006; MacDonald et al , 2008; Wurster et al , 2008). These climate changes have not been consistent in timing and/or intensity across different sites.…”