The coda Q has been calculated for Nevado del Ruiz Volcano, Colombia (NRV) from 1985 to 1999 by using a single scattering model. During this period, the inverse of Q (Q -1 proportional to attenuation) exhibited a long-term decrease with time, as well as shorterterm variations related to the volcanic activity. Q -1 increased prior to volcanic crises and decreased afterward. Based on these observations, a seismic warning criterion has been developed. The parameters (frequency band, size of moving average window, and threshold levels) necessary to evidence clear and significant short-term changes in Q -1 have been investigated and appropriated values are proposed. We suggest a phenomenological model with three stages for the short-term temporal changes in Q -1 at NRV. Firstly, Q -1 increases before a volcanic crises because of accumulation of gas and/or liquid, which decreases the aspect ratio of fluid pockets and increases the fractional volume of fluid in the rocks and the pore aspect ratio. Secondly, Q -1 starts to decrease during the crises by the discharging of fluids such as gas, water, etc. from the volcano. Finally, Q -1 becomes more stable after the crisis at a lower value because of the degassing and/or increasing of rigidity of the medium because of the long-term crystallization and cooling processes. Q -1 seems to be a promising monitoring tool at NRV. It is possible that the observed temporal changes of Q -1 , combined with other parameters, may help to predict with greater accuracy a volcanic crisis at NRV.Keywords Coda Q · Fluid aspect ratio · Pore aspect ratio · Seismicity · Volcanic activity Method, data, and processingThe method used to calculate coda Q in this study is based on the assumption that coda waves are single S to Editorial responsibility: J.-F. Lénat