“…In theory, virulence will evolve to a level at which virulence and transmission are balanced to optimize the spread of the pathogen (Alizon, Hurford, Mideo, & Van Baalen, 2009). Nevertheless, virulence is context–dependent, as both biotic factors such as host condition (Pulkkinen & Ebert, 2004) and host density (Bieger & Ebert, 2009) and abiotic factors such as temperature (Guijarro, Cascales, García‐Torrico, García‐Domínguez, & Méndez, 2015) can influence virulence. Consequently, pathogens that are able to survive outside their hosts and therefore less dependent on direct contact transmission are likely to experience nonoptimal virulence, high or low, depending on various factors that affects virulence outside the host (Bull & Ebert, 2008; Sundberg et al., 2014; Walther & Ewald, 2004).…”