Temperature change between neighboring days and mortality in United States: A nationwide study

Zhan, Zhi-Ying; Zhao, Yu; Pang, Shaojie; Zhong, Xue; Wang, Chong; Ding, Zan

doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.01.177

Cited by 82 publications

(39 citation statements)

References 39 publications

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“…For example, diurnal temperature change was generally associated with emergency hospital admissions for total respiratory, pneumonia and COPD in four largest cities in Korea using a temperature-matched case-crossover study design 12. Zhan et al 28 used the National Morbidity, Mortality, and Air Pollution Study data from 106 communities of the USA during 1987–2000 to investigate the effect of temperature change between neighbouring days (TCNs) on mortality and found that prominent effects of TCNs on mortality for total respiratory, pneumonia and COPD diseases.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Seasonal temperature variability and emergency hospital admissions for respiratory diseases: a population-based cohort study

Sun

Laden

Hart

et al. 2018

Thorax

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Seasonal temperature variability and emergency hospital admissions for respiratory diseases: a population-based cohort study

Sun

Laden

Hart

et al. 2018

Thorax

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“…The possible mechanism is that the human thermoregulation of immune defense is less adjustable to the sudden large change in temperature [26,27] and less resistant to various diseases [24,25]. Recently, studies showed that the sudden large change in temperature tends to cause high respiratory mortality [24][25][26][27]30] and to impact influenza seasonality [31]. It is, in fact, based on this pathological mechanism that we suspect that frequent fluctuating weather, as an additional factor, may play a significant role in influenza epidemics.…”

Section: Definition Of Rapid Weather Variabilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

Changing rapid weather variability increases influenza epidemic risk in a warming climate

Liu

Tan

Sun

et al. 2020

Environ. Res. Lett.

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It is believed that the continuing change in the Earth's climate will affect the viral activity and transmission of influenza over the coming decades. However, a consensus of the severity of the risk of an influenza epidemic in a warming climate has not been reached. It was previously reported that the warmer winter can reduce influenza epidemic caused mortality, but this relation cannot explain the deadly influenza epidemic in many countries over northern mid-latitudes in the winter of 2017-2018, one of the warmest winters in recent decades. Here, we reveal that the widely spread 2017-2018 influenza epidemic can be attributed to the abnormally strong rapid weather variability. We demonstrate, from historical data, that the large rapid weather variability in autumn can precondition the deadly influenza epidemic in the subsequent months in highly populated northern mid-latitudes; and the influenza epidemic season of 2017-2018 was a typical case. We further show that climate model projections reach a consensus that the rapid weather variability in autumn will continue to strengthen in some regions of northern mid-latitudes in a warming climate, implying that the risk of an influenza epidemic may increase 20% to 50% in some highly populated regions in the later 21st century.

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“…11,12,14,15,23 Several studies have focused on the impact of weather and pollutants on the risk of AMI in general, and some already on the risk of STEMI in particular, such that improvements in environment and pollution may directly lead to reductions in ageadjusted rates of coronary artery disease events. 10,[24][25][26] Indeed, CO, PM10 and PM2.5, among others, have already been linked to the risk of coronary events in several works. 10,17,27,28 However, uncertainty persists on the real impact of such environmental features on cardiovascular risk, given the competing effects of different variables, the non-linear associations and the typical time lag between exposure and disease.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact of environmental pollution and weather changes on the incidence of ST-elevation myocardial infarction

Biondi‐Zoccai

Frati

Gaspardone

et al. 2020

European Journal of Preventive Cardiology

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Background Environmental pollution and weather changes unfavorably impact on cardiovascular disease. However, limited research has focused on ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI), the most severe yet distinctive form of acute coronary syndrome. Methods and results We appraised the impact of environmental and weather changes on the incidence of STEMI, analysing the bivariate and multivariable association between several environmental and atmospheric parameters and the daily incidence of STEMI in two large Italian urban areas. Specifically, we appraised: carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), nitric oxide (NOX), ozone, particulate matter smaller than 10 μm (PM10) and than 2.5 μm (PM2.5), temperature, atmospheric pressure, humidity and rainfall. A total of 4285 days at risk were appraised, with 3473 cases of STEMI. Specifically, no STEMI occurred in 1920 (44.8%) days, whereas one or more occurred in the remaining 2365 (55.2%) days. Multilevel modelling identified several pollution and weather predictors of STEMI. In particular, concentrations of CO ( p=0.024), NOX ( p=0.039), ozone ( p=0.003), PM10 ( p=0.033) and PM2.5 ( p=0.042) predicted STEMI as early as three days before the event, as well as subsequently, and NO predicted STEMI one day before ( p = 0.010), as well as on the same day. A similar predictive role was evident for temperature and atmospheric pressure (all p < 0.05). Conclusions The risk of STEMI is strongly associated with pollution and weather features. While causation cannot yet be proven, environmental and weather changes could be exploited to predict STEMI risk in the following days.

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Temperature change between neighboring days and mortality in United States: A nationwide study

Cited by 82 publications

References 39 publications

Seasonal temperature variability and emergency hospital admissions for respiratory diseases: a population-based cohort study

Seasonal temperature variability and emergency hospital admissions for respiratory diseases: a population-based cohort study

Changing rapid weather variability increases influenza epidemic risk in a warming climate

Impact of environmental pollution and weather changes on the incidence of ST-elevation myocardial infarction

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