Telecommunications, an instrument of radical change for both the 20th and 21st centuries

Wymbs, Cliff

doi:10.1016/s0040-1625(03)00062-3

Cited by 11 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 36 publications

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“…Of special interest is the "first empirical regularity" discovered by Kondratieff: "during the recession of the long waves, an especially large number of important discoveries and inventions in the technique of production and communication are made, which, however, are usually applied on a large scale only at the beginning of the next long upswing" (Kondratieff, 1935: 111), as it connected causes of the economic growth acceleration/deceleration with the innovation rhythms, which served as a basis for the development of the "clustersof-innovations" version of the Kondratieff wave (K-wave) theory proposed by Joseph Schumpeter (1939). This further developed into theory suggesting that every new Kondratieff wave corresponds to a new technological paradigm (see, e.g., Volland, 1987;Modelski and Thompson, 1996;Berry, 2000;Modelski, 2001Modelski, , 2006Freeman and Louçã, 2001;Perez, 2002;Wymbs, 2004;Devezas et al, 2005;Ayres, 2006;Kleinknecht and van der Panne, 2006;Dator, 2006;Hirooka, 2006;Papenhausen, 2008;Korotayev et al, 2011;Linstone and Devezas, 2012;Nefiodow, 1996;Nefiodow, 2014a, 2014b;Wilenius and Casti, 2014). On this basis, many K-wave students forecast that the unfolding of the new (sixth) Kondratieff wave will be accompanied by the formation of the new (sixth) technological paradigm.…”

Section: Introduction Long Wave Theory and Forecasts Of Future Technmentioning

confidence: 94%

Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing

Гринин

Korotayev

2017

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

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In the present article we analyze the relationships between K-waves and major technological breakthroughs in history and offer forecasts about features of the sixth Kondratieff wave. We use for our analysis the basic ideas of long cycles' theory and related theories (theories of the leading sector, technological styles etc.) as well as the ideas of our own theory of production principles and production revolutions. The latest of production revolution is the Cybernetic Revolution that, from our point of view, started in the 1950s. We assume that in the 2030s and 2040s the sixth K-wave will merge with the final phase of the Cybernetic Revolution (which we call a phase of self-regulating systems). This period will be characterized by the breakthrough in medical technologies which will be capable to combine many other technologies into a single system of MANBRIC-technologies (medico-additive-nano-bio-roboto-info-cognitive technologies). The article also presents a forecast of the process of global ageing and argues why the technological breakthrough will occur in health care sector and connected spheres.

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Section: Introduction Long Wave Theory and Forecasts Of Future Technmentioning

confidence: 94%

Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing

Гринин

Korotayev

2017

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

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“…The twentieth century includes two long waves: the third wave (1896-1947) based on automotive, electrical engineering, and chemicals; and the fourth wave (1948-) for which growth was propelled by electronics, computers, communications, aerospace, and producer services (Hall and Preston, 1988). Whilst the timing of the fourth wave's end and the fifth wave's beginning remains open to debate, ranging from the early 1990s to around the turn of the century, there is much agreement as to the central role played by the digital revolution and the Internet as the enabling innovation underpinning the fifth wave, creating a large increase in informational service jobs, as well as a demand for new infrastructural network development (Hall and Preston, 1988;Wymbs, 2004;Devezas et al, 2005;Linstone and Devezas, 2012).…”

Section: Waves Of Growth and The Co-evolution Of Resources Capabilitmentioning

confidence: 99%

Regional evolution and waves of growth: A knowledge-based perspective

Huggins¹,

Izushi²,

Prokop³

et al. 2014

Expert Systems with Applications

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The evolution of a regional economy and its competitiveness capacity may involve multiple independent trajectories through which different sets of resources and capabilities evolve together. However, there is a dearth of evidence concerning how these trends are occurring across the globe. Based on the underlying tenets of the streams of research relating to regional competitiveness, knowledge cities/regions, and knowledge-based urban development, this paper seeks to present an empirical approach to establishing such evidence in relation to the recent development of the globe's most productive regions from the viewpoint of their growth trajectories and the particular form of growth they are experiencing. The aim is to uncover the underlying structure of the changes in knowledge-based resources, capabilities and outputs across regions, and offer an analysis of these regions according to an uncovered set of key trends. The analysis identifies three key trends by which the economic evolution and growth patterns of these regions are differentiated-namely the Fifth Wave Growth, the Third & Fourth Wave Growth, and Government-led Third Wave Growth. Overall, spectacular knowledge-based growth of leading Chinese regions is evident, highlighting a continued shift of knowledge-based resources to Asia. In addition, a superstructure is observed at the global scale, consisting of two separate continuums that explicitly distinguish Chinese regions from the rest in terms of regional growth trajectories.

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“…2006). Telecommunications industries, by nature, are also highly subjected to the introduction of disruptive technologies (Wymbs, 2004;Linstone, 2002;Christensen, 1997). Linstone (2002) described the vital role of technological innovation in telecommunications in both the beginning of the 20th and 21st centuries.…”

Section: Telecommunicationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

The impact of infrastructural change and regulation on entrepreneurial competitiveness in the South African telecommunications sector

Oberholzer¹,

Cullen

Adendorff

2014

SAJBM

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The fast pace of technological advancements is regarded as one of the global drivers of change. In the telecommunications sector in South Africa, these technological advancements as well as sector transformation pose competitiveness challenges to entrepreneurs. This paper reports an empirical study performed to contribute to the promotion of entrepreneurial competitiveness within the telecommunications sector of the South African economy. From the empirical study, significant relationships proved to exist between the intervening- and independent variables and the dependent variable of this study, namely Perceived Entrepreneurial Competitiveness. The independent variable Infrastructural Change positively influenced both the intervening variable Entrepreneurial Orientation and dependent variable Perceived Entrepreneurial Competitiveness. In the same manner, the independent variables of Regulatory Alignment and Entrepreneurial Mindset did positively influenced Perceived Entrepreneurial Competitiveness within thisstudy. The study found that entrepreneurs can position their businesses more competitively if the factors that impact directly or indirectly on Entrepreneurial Competitiveness in the South African Telecommunications sector are taken in consideration.

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Telecommunications, an instrument of radical change for both the 20th and 21st centuries

Cited by 11 publications

References 36 publications

Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing

Forthcoming Kondratieff wave, Cybernetic Revolution, and global ageing

Regional evolution and waves of growth: A knowledge-based perspective

The impact of infrastructural change and regulation on entrepreneurial competitiveness in the South African telecommunications sector

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