Technology roadmapping for competitive technical intelligence

Abstract

International audienceUnderstanding the evolution and emergence of technology domains remains a challenge, particularly so for potentially breakthrough technologies. Though it is well recognized that emergence of new fields is complex and uncertain, to make decisions amidst such uncertainty, one needs to mobilize various sources of intelligence to identify known–knowns and known–unknowns to be able to choose appropriate strategies and policies. This competitive technical intelligence cannot rely on simple trend analyses because breakthrough technologies have little past to inform such trends, and positing the directions of evolution is challenging. Neither do qualitative tools, embracing the complexities, provide all the solutions, since transparent and repeatable techniques need to be employed to create best practices and evaluate the intelligence that comes from such exercises. In this paper, we present a hybrid roadmapping technique that draws on a number of approaches and integrates them into a multi-level approach (individual activities, industry evolutions and broader global changes) that can be applied to breakthrough technologies. We describe this approach in deeper detail through a case study on dye-sensitized solar cells. Our contribution to this special issue is to showcase the technique as part of a family of approaches that are emerging around the world to inform strategy and policy

Conceptualizing the innovation process towards the ‘active innovation paradigm’—trends and outlook

“…The innovation management-centred approaches require more operational management tools to initiate, guide, steer and monitor innovation processes which eventually result in economic impact. The conceptual approach, on the other hand, is more focused on the innovation (management) framework conditions; this latter approach hence requires instruments and tools for designing framework conditions conducive to innovation at different levels (Meissner 2014;Khripunova et al 2014;Gokhberg and Meissner 2013;Zhang et al 2015).…”

Competition-driven figures of merit in technology roadmap planning

“…It became important and widely used in the 80s. Several studies have been conducted on competitive intelligence domain, but no empirical work gives a complete implemented competitive intelligence solution [8]. This concept is implemented in large and small companies, in private and public sector, and within an industrial context, but with different level of success influence [9].…”

Technology Roadmaps: Implementation of Innovation Management in Large Companies

“…[Lee, Phaal, Lee, 2013;Amer, Daim, Jetter, 2016]; • в рамках реализации модели открытых инноваций [Geum et al, 2013;Zhang et al, 2014]; • для обеспечения устойчивых конкурент ных преимуществ компаний [Jun, Seo, Son, 2013;Vishnevskiy, Karasev, Meis sner, 2016;Gershman, Bredikhin, Vish nevskiy, 2016;Zhang, Robinson, Porter, 2016]; • для развития сервисных услуг [Wells et al, 2004;Harmon, Laird, 2012] и др. Факторы успеха разработки и использования ТДК Вопросы внедрения и обеспечения успеш ности использования ТДК рассматривают ся менее детально, чем методы и этапы их разработки.…”