Szenarien als Basis für Strategiefindung und Früherkennung

Fink, Alexander; Siebe, Andreas

doi:10.37307/j.1867-8394.2008.02.06

Cited by 2 publications

(2 citation statements)

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“…The initial goal of the present project is to gather the perspectives of educators on the potential futures of AIEd. We first drew on techniques from future management (Fink & Siebe, 2011;Gutschow & Jorgens, 2016 to identify key variables (strategy elements) that will impact the future of AIEd and their possible outcomes (future options). Combinations of future options provide a structured method for developing strategic scenarios for AIEd applications, while making explicit the underlying assumptions for different macro and meso conditions (see Bai, Zawacki-Richter, & Muskens, 2022, for discussion).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

RE-EXAMINING THE FUTURE PROSPECTS OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE IN EDUCATION IN LIGHT OF THE GDPR AND ChatGPT

BAI,

ZAWACKI-RICHTER,

MUSKENS

2024

Turkish Online Journal of Distance Education

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Artificial intelligence in education (AIEd) is a fast-growing field of research. In previous work, we described efforts to explore the possible futures of AIEd by identifying key variables and their future prospects. This paper re-examines our discussions on the governance of data and the role of students and teachers by considering the implications of 1) a recent case related to the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) and 2) the release of ChatGPT, a generative AI model capable to producing ‘human-like’ text. These events raise questions for the future of AIEd and the underlying function of assessment, and highlight the importance of active student participation in the integration of AI in education.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

RE-EXAMINING THE FUTURE PROSPECTS OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE IN EDUCATION IN LIGHT OF THE GDPR AND ChatGPT

BAI,

ZAWACKI-RICHTER,

MUSKENS

2024

Turkish Online Journal of Distance Education

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“…Figure 1. Three levels of foresight according to Fink and Siebe (2011) According to Fink and Siebe (2011), prognoses are linear extrapolations of quantitative values from the past and the present. They are used to make statements about concrete facts with a short time horizon (Fink and Siebe 2016).…”

Section: Essential Terms Of the Subject Area Of Foresightmentioning

confidence: 99%

Foresight in Product Development - A Review on Existing Understandings and Approaches

Proceedings of the International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Operations Management

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Early consideration of the future market environment of a new product favors its success. Therefore, the future environment and requirements derived from this must be considered in the development of a product. Foresight provides several instruments for identifying different potential future developments, according to the time horizon referenced in the development of the product. Especially for a medium to long-term time horizon, trends and scenarios are suitable. With scenarios, alternative environments of the future can be described and distinguished. In strategic product planning, future requirements are derived with the help of scenarios to enable a more efficient and often less expensive definition for a product. Due to a volatile market environment, the product must be adapted in many cases or fails to meet the future needs of customers, users or suppliers. There are several approaches to manage this uncertainty. However, there is a lack of an overview of common understandings. In this paper, 29 relevant publications were identified with a systematic literature review considering 382 publications. Six existing understandings were identified but they are not used consistently. Based on the commonalities, two key orientations were found: futurerobustness and future-orientation. With future-robustness, developments can be understood which results in products positioned robustly against several alternative futures. The products can be adapted to different future developments with minor adjustments. In contrast, with future-orientation the development is focused on a specific alternative future and thus the product design is made for one chosen solution concept. Therefore, product changes are effortful.

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Szenarien als Basis für Strategiefindung und Früherkennung

Cited by 2 publications

References 0 publications

RE-EXAMINING THE FUTURE PROSPECTS OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE IN EDUCATION IN LIGHT OF THE GDPR AND ChatGPT

RE-EXAMINING THE FUTURE PROSPECTS OF ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE IN EDUCATION IN LIGHT OF THE GDPR AND ChatGPT

Foresight in Product Development - A Review on Existing Understandings and Approaches

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