Systolic Blood Pressure and the Risk of Kidney Replacement Therapy and Mortality in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease Stages 4–5

Abstract

Introduction In patients with chronic kidney disease stage 4 and 5 (CKD stages 4-5) without dialysis and arterial hypertension, it is unknown if the values of systolic blood pressure (SBP) considered in control <120 mmHg are associated with kidney replacement therapy (KRT) and mortality. Methods In this retrospective cohort study, hypertensive CKD stages 4-5 patients attending the Renal Health Clinic at the Hospital Civil de Guadalajara were enrolled. We divided them into those that achieved SBP < 120 mmHg (controlled group) and those who did not (>120 mmHg), the uncontrolled group. Our primary objective was to analyze the association between the controlled group and KRT; the secondary objective was the mortality risk, and if there were subgroups of patients that achieved more benefit. Data were analyzed using Stata software, version. 15.1. Results During 2017 to 2022 a total 275 hypertensive CKD stages 4-5 patients met the inclusion criteria for the analysis, 62 in the controlled group and 213 in the uncontrolled group; mean age 61 years, 49.82% were male, SBP was significantly lower in the controlled group (111 mmHg) compared to the uncontrolled group (140 mmHg), eGFR was similar between groups (20.41 ml/min/1.73m2). There was a tendency to increase the mortality risk in the uncontrolled group (HR 6.47 [0.78-53.27]; p= 0.082) and an association by the Kaplan-Meir analysis (Log-rank p= 0.043). The subgroup analysis for risk of KRT in the controlled group revealed that patients ≥ 61 years had a lower risk of KRT (HR 0.87 [95% CI, 0-76-0.99]; p=0.03, p of interaction = 0.005), but no differences were found in the subgroup analysis for mortality. In a follow-up of 1.34 years, no association was found in the risk of KRT according to the controlled or uncontrolled groups in a multivariate Cox analysis. Conclusion In a retrospective cohort of patients with CKD stages 4-5 and hypertension, SBP >120 mmHg was not associated with risk of KRT but could be associated with the risk of death. Clinical trials are required in this group of patients to demonstrate the impact of reaching the SBP goals recommended by the KDIGO guidelines.