Molecular dynamics (MD) simulations
provide a wealth of high-dimensional
data at all-atom and femtosecond resolution but deciphering mechanistic
information from this data is an ongoing challenge in physical chemistry
and biophysics. Theoretically speaking, joint probabilities of the
equilibrium distribution contain all thermodynamic information, but
they prove increasingly difficult to compute and interpret as the
dimensionality increases. Here, inspired by tools in probabilistic
graphical modeling, we develop a factor graph trained through belief
propagation that helps factorize the joint probability into an approximate
tractable form that can be easily visualized and used. We validate
the study through the analysis of the conformational dynamics of two
small peptides with five and nine residues. Our validations include
testing the conditional dependency predictions through an intervention
scheme inspired by Judea Pearl. Second, we directly use the belief
propagation-based approximate probability distribution as a high-dimensional
static bias for enhanced sampling, where we achieve spontaneous back-and-forth
motion between metastable states that is up to 350 times faster than
unbiased MD. We believe this work opens up useful ways to thinking
about and dealing with high-dimensional molecular simulations.