2020
DOI: 10.1212/wnl.0000000000008745
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Survival time tool to guide care planning in people with dementia

Abstract: ObjectiveTo develop survival prediction tables to inform physicians and patients about survival probabilities after the diagnosis of dementia and to determine whether survival after dementia diagnosis can be predicted with good accuracy.MethodsWe conducted a nationwide registry-linkage study including 829 health centers, i.e., all memory clinics and ≈75% of primary care facilities, across Sweden. Data including cognitive function from 50,076 people with incident dementia diagnoses ≥65 years of age and register… Show more

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Cited by 47 publications
(59 citation statements)
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“…This is not surprising as clinicians' difficulties to estimate survival time in people with dementia is well recognized in the literature. 34 Finally, the preferences of healthcare professionals in hospitals were found to be almost identical to those reported in a recent study in which the general public was questioned, 28 suggesting that clinicians' decisions will be easily understood and supported by laypersons. This might not only reduce the distress of hospital professionals when making difficult decisions, but also might encourage adopting a more transparent and accountable triaging process.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 52%
“…This is not surprising as clinicians' difficulties to estimate survival time in people with dementia is well recognized in the literature. 34 Finally, the preferences of healthcare professionals in hospitals were found to be almost identical to those reported in a recent study in which the general public was questioned, 28 suggesting that clinicians' decisions will be easily understood and supported by laypersons. This might not only reduce the distress of hospital professionals when making difficult decisions, but also might encourage adopting a more transparent and accountable triaging process.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 52%
“…Common reasons included lack of information on discrimination and calibration, lack of internal validation, insufficient numbers of events, lack of accounting for missing data or using complete case analysis, and selecting final candidates based on the results of univariate p value testing (more details available in Supplementary Table 2). Of the 16 studies reporting model development, 2 had low risk of bias for ≥18 PROBAST signaling questions [17,18], 7 had low risk of bias for 15-17 signaling questions [9,10,12,[19][20][21], and 7 had low risk of bias for <15 signaling questions [11, 13-16, 22, 23]. The two highest quality studies were the Advanced Dementia Prognostic Tool (ADEPT) [17], derived to predict risk of death at 6 months among persons with advanced dementia in nursing homes, and a prognostic model for risk of death at 6 months among persons with dementia seen in outpatient primary care or dementia specialty clinics contributing data to a nationwide registry [18].…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…People with AD and severe asthma/COPD may not be able to use acetylcholinesterase inhibitors due to possible worsening of asthma/ COPD and therefore they would not have been captured in our study population. Asthma and COPD are part of Comorbidity Indices [ 37 , 38 ] used in several studies [ 16 , 17 ], but by reporting comorbidities in this way makes it impossible to see an association between individual comorbidities and mortality. We found a 4.9-month shorter median survival time of people with a history of asthma/COPD in the AD cohort and a 7-month shorter survival time in the non-AD cohort.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%