“…There has been much attention devoted to detection probability, and especially to the challenges raised when working with rare and cryptic species in stochastic environments ( Lebreton et al, 1992 ; MacKenzie et al, 2002 ; Royle, Nichols & Kéry, 2005 ; Pacifici, Dorazio & Conroy, 2012 ; Kellner & Swihart, 2014 ; Moore et al, 2014 ; Specht et al, 2017 ; Folt et al, 2019 ). The detectability of many species varies with environmental conditions; annual variation in weather can strongly affect the optimal time of year to survey, and the overall likelihood of detecting the target species ( Field, Tyre & Possingham, 2005 ; Jackson et al, 2006 ; McConville et al, 2009 ; Rizzo et al, 2017 ; Shaffer, Roloff & Campa, 2019 ). If the factors influencing detectability are not known, one can never be confident that failure to detect constitutes a true absence, and the development of standardized monitoring schemes will be severely hampered ( Penteriani et al, 2005 ; Bried & Pellet, 2012 ; Gervasi et al, 2014 ; Bellier, Kéry & Schaub, 2016 ; Crone, 2016 ).…”