Surface Albedo Feedback, Seasonal Heat Storage and Meridional Heat Transport Determine the Seasonality of Recent Warming in Antarctica

Abstract

The reanalysis data suggest that recent surface warming over Antarctica start in 2016. In this study, using reanalysis data and numerical simulations, I attempt to determine the important mechanisms accounting for seasonal surface warming in Antarctica. The results suggested that seasonal surface warming in Antarctica is mainly determined by the surface energy budget over the Antarctic via horizontal heat advection. The surface energy budget anomaly over the Antarctic, which is mainly determined by anomalous solar radiation absorption, anomalous ocean heat content, and anomalous meridional atmospheric heat transport (AHT), is triggered by Antarctic sea‐ice loss and thus determines the observational seasonality of recent warming in Antarctica via surface horizontal heat advection. In austral summer (December–January–February), additional solar radiation absorption induced by sea‐ice loss and additional AHT from lower latitudes increase the energy budget over the Antarctic. Surface warming, more longwave radiation, and additional energy stored in the upper (deeper) ocean for short (long) time periods explain the additional energy sinks. During austral autumn‐winter (March–August), additional seasonal heat storage (SHS; mainly stored in the upper ocean) is released to the atmosphere and warms the surface. Although the AHT anomaly contributes similarly to the solar radiation absorption/SHS anomaly during April–August, the poleward AHT largely decreased in June due to the weaker eddy activity induced by strong warming at Southern Hemisphere midlatitudes, which counteracts the additional SHS release and cools the Antarctic(a).