2015
DOI: 10.1093/mnras/stv2769
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Supermodulation of the Sun's magnetic activity: the effects of symmetry changes

Abstract: In this paper we argue that the solar activity record, as revealed by telescopic observations and proxy data from the abundances of cosmogenic isotopes, is consistent with the action of a deterministic nonlinear chaotic dynamo. In particular we claim that the long timescale 'super-modulation' apparent in the isotopic record can be ascribed to switching of the dynamo between two different modulational patterns. The first (which is currently in operation) involves deep grand minima and occasional changes in symm… Show more

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Cited by 70 publications
(54 citation statements)
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“…For example, in the shaded regions, the solution undergoes changes in symmetry with no deep minima (Type 1 modulation), while between t ≈ 6 and t ≈ 9 clusters of grand minima are found. From a mathematical perspective, it is no surprise that a chaotic nonlinear dynamo solution exhibits such behaviour which has indeed been predicted (Weiss & Tobias 2016).…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 62%
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“…For example, in the shaded regions, the solution undergoes changes in symmetry with no deep minima (Type 1 modulation), while between t ≈ 6 and t ≈ 9 clusters of grand minima are found. From a mathematical perspective, it is no surprise that a chaotic nonlinear dynamo solution exhibits such behaviour which has indeed been predicted (Weiss & Tobias 2016).…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 62%
“…This clearly shows the solution exhibiting both types of modulation; Type 1 modulation where there are no minima in activity but energy transfer between the modes of different symmetries and Type 2 modulation where the antisymmetric solution regularly visits grand minima in activity through interactions with the zonal wind. The transition between these two types of modulation has been termed supermodulation and is believed to be prominent in solar activity records (Weiss & Tobias 2016). The time series corresponding to the trajectories in figure 3 are shown in figure 4.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…For intervening bands, and for larger values of τ , synchronization still occurs, but the 22.14 years oscillation is then replaced by a 11.07 years pulsation. Whether these pulsations are irrelevant for the sun, or whether they could be linked to the behaviour during grand minima (Weiss and Tobias, 2016;Moss and Sokoloff, 2017), remains to be clarified in higher-dimensional models. Remarkably, at any rate, is the phase coherence when passing from oscillations to pulsations, and back, as evidenced in Figure 3.…”
Section: Discussion and Summarymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We can gain insights by turning to nonlinear mean field dynamo studies such as those of Tobias (1997), Moss and Brooke (2000), Bushby (2006). These mean field dynamo models take into account the retroaction by the large-scale Lorentz force (also known as the Malkus-Proctor effect) and have shown that low magnetic Prandtl dynamo models (Pm < 0.025) yields interesting intermittent/chaotic states akin to grand minima period (see also recent work by Weiss and Tobias (2016)). This is due to the various magnetic, velocity and diffusive time scales that leads to a highly time dependent behavior when there are far apart as it is the case for low Pm number.…”
Section: Solar-like Starsmentioning
confidence: 99%