Studying fiascos: bringing public and foreign policy together

Oppermann, Kai; Spencer, Alexander

doi:10.1080/13501763.2015.1128228

Cited by 15 publications

(5 citation statements)

References 23 publications

(21 reference statements)

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“…Scholars use several different terms to conceptualize intense policy failures. Various scholars examine policy fiascos, defined as perceived policy failures where the decision‐makers are blamed for outcomes (Oppermann & Spencer, 2016a; McConnell et al, 2008; Treisman, 2020). Bovens and ‘t Hart (2016) distinguish between a policy failure, a policy that does not achieve its intended outcome, from a policy fiasco, where a perceived policy failure results in blame placed upon the government.…”

Section: A Punctuated Equilibrium Theory Of Policy Disastersmentioning

confidence: 99%

Political institutions, punctuated equilibrium theory, and policy disasters

Fagan

2022

Policy Studies Journal

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This paper develops a theory of the relationship between policy disasters and political institutions. Policy disasters, defined as avoidable, unintended extreme negative policy outcomes, are important political, and historical events above that receive relatively little attention from political scientists and scholars of public policy. Using the predictions of punctuated equilibrium theory, I argue that systems with higher error accumulation will experience more policy disasters. Systems with more veto players and weaker information flows will experience more policy disasters, but information flows will have a stronger impact than veto players. I test this theory using data on financial crises and natural and technological disasters across 70 countries over 60 years. I find strong evidence that systems with weaker information flows and more veto players tend to have greater policy disaster risk.

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Section: A Punctuated Equilibrium Theory Of Policy Disastersmentioning

confidence: 99%

Political institutions, punctuated equilibrium theory, and policy disasters

Fagan

2022

Policy Studies Journal

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“…There have also been new handbooks focusing on the foreign policies of single countries, like Austria, Japan, and Russia, among others (McCarthy 2018;Tsygankov 2018;Senn, Eder, and Kornprobst 2022). Moreover, there have been recent initiatives to foster connections between FPA and other strands of research, including bridges toward ethnography (Hopf 2002;Neumann 2002Neumann , 2011Kuus 2013Kuus , 2014MacKay and Levin 2015;Cornut 2018), feminist theory (Hudson et al 2008;Aggestam and True 2020;Okundaye and Breuning 2021), public policy (Oppermann and Spencer 2016;Brummer et al 2019;Haar and Pierce 2021) and history (Brummer and Kießling 2019), as much as there has been new work on enduring topics such as foreign policy change (da Vinha 2017;Chryssogelos 2021;Joly and Haesebrouck 2021).…”

Section: Disciplinary Development Of Foreign Policy Analysismentioning

confidence: 99%

Methods of Foreign Policy Analysis

Ostermann¹,

Mello²

2022

Routledge Handbook of Foreign Policy Analysis Methods

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“…It is generally difficult to evaluate a foreign policy for various reasons including multiple competing goals, short-term vs. long-term impacts, alternative options, volatile variables, complex domestic context, uncontrollable international influence, incomprehensible leaders' decision making, lack of data, and the effect on "the dogs that do not bark" (Baldwin, 2000;Morin & Paquin, 2018, p. 46). The evaluation is even harder due to no common understanding of the definition of "foreign policy", "success" or "failure" (Baldwin, 2000;Oppermann & Spencer, 2016) as well as challenges of assessing different types of foreign policies (McConnell, 2016).…”

Section: Theoretical Backgroundmentioning

confidence: 99%

Facing the Ravenous Sea Dragon: How Weaker Nations Confront Chinese Coercion in the South China Sea

2022

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Studying fiascos: bringing public and foreign policy together

Cited by 15 publications

References 23 publications

Political institutions, punctuated equilibrium theory, and policy disasters

Political institutions, punctuated equilibrium theory, and policy disasters

Methods of Foreign Policy Analysis

Facing the Ravenous Sea Dragon: How Weaker Nations Confront Chinese Coercion in the South China Sea

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