Structural Changes in the Labor Market and the Rise of Early Retirement in France and Germany

Batyra, Anna; Croix, David de la; Pierrard, Olivier; Sneessens, Henri

doi:10.1111/geer.12150

Cited by 8 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 48 publications

(58 reference statements)

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“…The labor market reactions are caused by specifics of the region and show strong polarization, especially in the post-crisis periods (Beyer and Stemmer, 2016). In the long run, the demographic distribution (Otoiu, 2017), education system development ( Jez, 2015;Amaral et al, 2015), population age structure (Batyra et al, 2016;Anghelache et al, 2016), social norm preferences to work (Zweig, 2015;Balleer et al, 2014) are the important factors influencing the labor market. The deviation in aggregate labor force participation for different countries is partly resulted by differences in the labor participation of women that is considerably distinctive for developed countries (Brenke, 2015;Johnson, 2014;Mishra and Smyth, 2010) and developing countries (Husain, 2016;Hare, 2016;Tam, 2011).…”

Section: Introduction and Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Labor force participation in Eastern European countries: nonlinear modeling

Oliskevych

Lukianenko

2019

JES

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Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate the behavior peculiarities of the labor force participation in Eastern European countries. Design/methodology/approach The authors provide the analysis of nonlinearity in dynamics of economic active population and perform the econometric analysis using logistic smooth transition autoregressive models that are flexible and capture various kinds of behavior for different modes. The paper investigates labor markets of six Eastern European countries, Hungary, Bulgaria, Poland, Slovakia, Romania and Croatia that are characterized by lower level of labor force participation rate (LFPR) than average level in EU. Findings The results of modeling quantitatively characterize smooth changes in the behavior modes of labor force activity for each country and indicate how population economic activity depends on previous labor market states. The estimated slope parameters that determine the smoothness of transition between regimes show that, in all countries, the labor force participation quite quickly reacts to changes that occurred on the labor market in the past. During recession periods, households of European countries that joint EU last decade in order to prevent the depletion of their total income increased labor supply and showed increased activity in job search. Originality/value This paper indicates the nonlinearity and asymmetry in LFPR in transition economies, discovers variety of its dynamics in the different regimes and determines the indicators that cause the change of the population economic activity behavior in each country.

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Section: Introduction and Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Labor force participation in Eastern European countries: nonlinear modeling

Oliskevych

Lukianenko

2019

JES

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“…The previous study based on US data (Rutledge et al, 2017) also indicates such a relationship. In addition, according to Batyra et al (2019), low-skilled senior workers demonstrate a higher probability of not only unemployment but also of early withdrawal from the labour market.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Estimating the probability of leaving unemployment for older people in Poland using survival models with censored data

Grzenda¹

2023

SiTns

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Current demographic changes require greater participation of people aged 50 or older in the labour market. Previous research shows that the chances of returning to employment decrease with the length of the unemployment period. In the case of older people who have not reached the statutory retirement age, these chances also depend on the time they have left to retirement. Our study aims to assess the probability of leaving unemployment for people aged 50-71 based on their characteristics and the length of the unemployment period. We use data from the Labour Force Survey for 2019–2020. The key factors determining employment status are identified using the proportional hazard model. We take these factors into account and use the direct adjusted survival curve to show how the probability of returning to work in Poland changes as people age. Due to the fact that not many people take up employment around their retirement age, an in-depth evaluation of the accuracy of predictions obtained via the models is crucial to assess the results. Hence, in this paper, a time-dependent ROC curve is used. Our results indicate that the key factor that influences the return to work after an unemployment period in the case of older people in Poland is whether they reached the age of 60. Other factors that proved important in this context are the sex and the education level of older people.

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“…by easing the protection against dismissal, relieving small and medium-sized businesses, and deregulating legal professions. What is more, the bargaining power of unions and employee associations was diminished (Batyra, de la Croix, & Pierrard et al, 2017). Lastly, the reform by Myriam El Khomri who succeeded labor minister Rebsamen went in the same direction.…”

Section: French Reforms Under Hollande and Macron: Eu Pressure Qualimentioning

confidence: 99%

One discourse to rule them all? Narrating the agenda for labor market policies in France and Germany

Bandelow

Hornung

2019

Policy and Society

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Despite different institutional and situational conditions, the recent French labor market reforms bear a strong resemblance to the labor market reforms in Germany in the early 2000s. Governments at both points in time turned away from the conservative welfare state model and failed to appropriately legitimize their reforms toward the public as well as their originally partly social-democratic electorate. Given the diverging conditions which are expected to lead to different strategies of legitimization, this contribution inquires after the narrative stories with which the corresponding acting government framed its reforms publicly. Surprisingly, despite the large differences that the two governments faced, the analysis shows that the respective narratives stories were not only similar but can be assigned to certain programmatic groups that used the narratives to push their own policy program and place themselves in power positions. In doing so, the contribution establishes a yet missing link between the recently established Programmatic Action Framework (PAF) and the concept of narrative stories and discourse in policy analysis, thereby adding to both research strands. This link lies in the observation that programmatic groups use narratives to strengthen in-group identification and thus improve their chances of success, which makes dominant narratives an important indicator of programmatic groups. However, when legitimizing reformseven if these are transferred from other country experiencesit is imperatively important to embed the strategies of legitimization in the national context.

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Structural Changes in the Labor Market and the Rise of Early Retirement in France and Germany

Cited by 8 publications

References 48 publications

Labor force participation in Eastern European countries: nonlinear modeling

Labor force participation in Eastern European countries: nonlinear modeling

Estimating the probability of leaving unemployment for older people in Poland using survival models with censored data

One discourse to rule them all? Narrating the agenda for labor market policies in France and Germany

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