1979
DOI: 10.1007/bf00143836
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Strength of belief and risk

Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to review work on subjective probability and strength of belief, in particular with reference to situations involving a high degree of risk. Work concerned mostly with cognitive limitations and shortcomings is discussed and some implications for societal responses to risky technology are offered. It is concluded that there is, in the literature on subjective probability, a lack of work on small probabilities and on the emotional influence of belief formation to be expected in situa… Show more

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Cited by 57 publications
(14 citation statements)
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“…An adapted version of the part of the questionnaire that included the five scenarios is shown in Appendix B. Each of these scenarios reflected social constructs that may interact with risk perception since knowledge may be arbitrary and a matter of social construction and risk perception reflects various thoughts, beliefs and constructs [64,65]. Scenario 1 regarded the construct of trust to the capabilities and expertise of others; trust is a key aspect of amplification and attenuation efforts [23].…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…An adapted version of the part of the questionnaire that included the five scenarios is shown in Appendix B. Each of these scenarios reflected social constructs that may interact with risk perception since knowledge may be arbitrary and a matter of social construction and risk perception reflects various thoughts, beliefs and constructs [64,65]. Scenario 1 regarded the construct of trust to the capabilities and expertise of others; trust is a key aspect of amplification and attenuation efforts [23].…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In this manner, Otway and Von Winterfeldt (1982) advocated that acceptable risk be defined in terms of variables people find relevant to their own concerns. People integrate information in line with their own subjective evaluations and behave consistently with these evaluations (Ajzen & Fishbein, 1980;Fishbein & Ajzen, 1975;Otway et al, 1978;Sjoberg, 1979). In this sense, people obtain, integrate, and use information to estimate expected values and to formulate behavioral intentions.…”
Section: Please Scroll Down For Articlementioning
confidence: 91%
“…Many social scientists agree that risk is not something independent of human society and culture but rather risk, and our understanding of it, is socially constructed [19,20]. Beck suggests that risk originates from human decision making and is thus a part of society [21].…”
Section: Background Literaturementioning
confidence: 99%