“…In the absence of external feedback, such estimates may be furnished by second-order computation, which outputs a subjective probability of success. This probability provides a useful indicator of whether a previous decision should be corrected (Resulaj et al, 2009), whether a subsequent step in a chain of decisions should be initiated (Dehaene & Sigman, 2012), whether to make the task easier by offloading intentions into the environment (Gilbert, 2015), or more generally when it is advantageous to deliberate (Keramati et al, 2011) or engage cognitive control (Boureau et al, 2015; Shenhav, Botvinick, & Cohen, 2013). Here we focus on the generation of confidence in a single task, but one could envisage replicating this architecture to maintain internal estimates of long-run confidence over a number of tasks (Donoso, Collins, & Koechlin, 2014).…”