Strategic co-ordination in the 2002 Hungarian election

Nikolenyi, Csaba

doi:10.1080/1465342042000294356

Cited by 5 publications

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Section: Methods and Research Designmentioning

confidence: 98%

“…Previous research observed a growing trend of strategic voting under the Hungarian supermixed system until 2010 (Nikolenyi, 2004; Kiss, 2015). While the 2002 election was the first election in Hungary when the party system transformation resulted in electoral outcomes in line with Duverger's expectations (Nikolenyi, 2004; cf. the ‘learning hypothesis’ by Tavits & Annus, 2006), especially in the 2010 election there was the strong evidence of strategic voting, or the strategic motivation of voters of third‐place candidates, respectively (Kiss, 2015).…”

Section: Methods and Research Designmentioning

confidence: 98%

“…An institutional factor, namely the country's super‐mixed electoral system, helped structure the party system by reducing the number of parties due to strategic coordination within various tiers of the electoral system (Nikolenyi, 2004). In the long‐term perspective, the electoral system favoured larger parties at the expense of smaller ones, which resulted in bipolar political competition, albeit with a high degree of polarization.…”

Section: Political Context Of the 2011 Electoral Reformmentioning

confidence: 99%

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On the Way to Limited Competitiveness: Political Consequences of the 2011 Electoral Reform in Hungary

Maškarinec

Charvát

2022

Swiss Political Sci Review

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Section: Methods and Research Designmentioning

confidence: 98%

Section: Methods and Research Designmentioning

confidence: 98%

Section: Political Context Of the 2011 Electoral Reformmentioning

confidence: 99%

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On the Way to Limited Competitiveness: Political Consequences of the 2011 Electoral Reform in Hungary

Maškarinec

Charvát

2022

Swiss Political Sci Review

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“…(cf. Nikolenyi 2004;Kiss 2015;Maškarinec 2018a) use a measure which weighs parties according to their relative sizes. Specifically, we calculate Laakso and Taagepera"s (1979) effective number of electoral parties (ENEP) in each precinct as a measure of strategic voting.…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Strategic Voting in Slovak Regional Elections of 2013 and 2017: Evidence for Duverger’s Law in Elections of Presidents of Regional Self-Government?

Maškarinec¹

2018

sociologia

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Duverger's Law in Elections of Presidents of Regional Self-Government? This article tests Duverger's law through an analysis of the 2017 elections of Slovakian regional presidents which were held under the new first-past-the-post (or single-member plurality) system, and comparison with results of the previous election of 2013 which used a tworound system (absolute majority runoff). The main aim of the article is to test the expectations of strategic voting in the context of the so-called second-order elections, under which regional elections can be classified. The results show that strategic voting was not a universal phenomenon under the plurality rule in 2017, as indicated by electoral results and party competition at the level of electoral precincts. In most electoral precincts, the character of electoral competition was not in compliance with theoretical expectations and two-party competition. More importantly, the introduction of FPTP, instead of TRS, should lead to increasing two-party competition and strategic voting, but the opposite was true. Competition at precinct level in 2017 went far away from the Duvergerian equilibrium, as two-party competition increased in only one out of eight regions, Trnava, compared to 2013. Finally, segmented Nagayama diagrams likely proved as the most suitable indicator of competitiveness and strategic behaviour, helping us identify the patterns, but above all, changes to the patterns, of electoral competitiveness between elections. Our research thus confirmed that the effect of electoral institutions (institutional structure) is contingent upon and (at the district, or precinct, level) inhibited by country-specific conditions, with potentially strong influence of the second-order character of the Slovak regional elections.

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“…The MSZP/SZDSZ coalition was hurt in 1998 by charges of corruption within the government's privatization board (Szilagyi, 1996) and by an outbreak of shootings and bomb explosions in Budapest during the spring of the election (Popescu and Tóka, 2000: 6). The narrow MSZP/SZDSZ victory in 2002 may have turned on such non-issue criteria as youth mobilized by parents and cell phone technology (Sükösd and Dányi, 2003) and the MSZP's and SZDSZ's use of joint candidate lists during the runoff election (Nikolenyi, 2004).…”

Section: Notesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Modalities of Democratic Transformation

Roberts

Popping

Pan

2009

International Sociology

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This article is based on the premise that social systems are justified via the discursive use of modal statements (i.e. sentences in which actors delineate that which is possible, impossible, inevitable or contingent) and their associated rationales. Within authoritarian states such modal discourse usually reflects a relatively coherent `modality of permission'. However, when the citizens of such states unite to overthrow their totalitarian leaders, their activities are typically justified in terms of two mutually inconsistent discursive forms: a `modality of achievement' (based on market justice among competitors) vs a `modality of necessity' (based on social justice for the masses). These three discursive modalities have theoretical roots in Simmel's forms of sociation, and can be differentiated using content analysis. In an analysis of editorials during Hungary's first seven years of post-Soviet democratization, evidence is found of a steady increase during these years in mentions of Hungarians' opportunities being based on economic circumstances as well as in mentions of their responsibilities being grounded in political circumstances. This latter finding suggests that as late as 1997, Hungarian political discourse was heading toward a modality of necessity, more like the predominant political modality in Western Europe than the achievement modality that characterizes political discourse in the US.

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Strategic co-ordination in the 2002 Hungarian election

Cited by 5 publications

References 0 publications

On the Way to Limited Competitiveness: Political Consequences of the 2011 Electoral Reform in Hungary

On the Way to Limited Competitiveness: Political Consequences of the 2011 Electoral Reform in Hungary

Strategic Voting in Slovak Regional Elections of 2013 and 2017: Evidence for Duverger’s Law in Elections of Presidents of Regional Self-Government?

Modalities of Democratic Transformation

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