2015
DOI: 10.4236/me.2015.62013
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Stock Selection and Timing Ability of the Taiwan Equity Funds—The Application of Stochastic Beta, GARCH, and Nonlinear GLS

Abstract: This study simultaneously examines funds' selectivity, beta stationary, and timing decisions by the modified method of Chen and Stockum (1986). We adopt GARCH, generalized least square (GLS), and a nonlinear parameter-estimator model to increase the estimate efficiency. The results indicate that up to 86% of the funds have stochastic betas, over 99% show positive but insignificant selectivity, and 83% indicate negatively significant market-timing ability. This suggests that Taiwan domestic-equity fund managers… Show more

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Cited by 5 publications
(5 citation statements)
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“…The perverse market timing is conspicuous among the local funds, indicating managers' adversity in predicting the volatile Malaysian equity market (see Table 1 and Figure 2). This finding is not only consistent with evidence documented in Malaysia earlier (Low & Ghazali, 2005), but also in various other markets like the U.S. (Frijns et al, 2013), Denmark (Christensen, 2013), and Taiwan (Goo et al, 2015). In general, this finding suggests that the funds' ability to outperform the market is contributed by their ability in selecting the right stocks, but their performance could have been better had they possess the right market timing abilities.…”
Section: Summary Of Results From Both Local and Global Augmented H-m supporting
confidence: 89%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…The perverse market timing is conspicuous among the local funds, indicating managers' adversity in predicting the volatile Malaysian equity market (see Table 1 and Figure 2). This finding is not only consistent with evidence documented in Malaysia earlier (Low & Ghazali, 2005), but also in various other markets like the U.S. (Frijns et al, 2013), Denmark (Christensen, 2013), and Taiwan (Goo et al, 2015). In general, this finding suggests that the funds' ability to outperform the market is contributed by their ability in selecting the right stocks, but their performance could have been better had they possess the right market timing abilities.…”
Section: Summary Of Results From Both Local and Global Augmented H-m supporting
confidence: 89%
“…In the study that spans the period from 1995 to 2005, they concluded that market timing and selectivity abilities that are expected from actively managed funds are not empirically supported. In a study period from 2004 to 2009, Goo, Chang, and Chiu (2015) found positive stock selectivity skills in 99% of the 144 Taiwan domestic-equity funds but they are insignificant. However, what is puzzling is the fact that 83% of the funds show negatively significant market timing performances.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 95%
“…Researchers report the presence of selectivity timing ability (e.g. Romacho & Cortez 2006;Ang & Lean 2013;Munoz et al 2014;Goo et al 2015), market timing ability (Tschanz 2010;Elton et al 2011;In et al 2014), and volatility timing ability abilities ( Busse 1999;Chunhachinda & Tangprasert 2004;Giambona & Golec 2009;Liao et al 2017). However, these studies do not investigate the factors contributing to these timing abilities.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Similar results can be also found in Coggings et al (2009), and Gubellini (2014) for the US mutual funds, Foran and O'Sullivan (2014) for the UK, Leite and Cortez (2009) for the Portuguese market, Benson and Faff (2006) for the Australian industry, Gallefoss (2015) for the Norwegian mutual funds, and Bessler et al (2009) for the German market. More recently, Das (2015), Goo et al (2015) and Baek and Park (2015), among others, have implemented conditional fund measures.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%