Abstract:a b s t r a c tIn the proposed model, the independent system operator (ISO) provides the opportunity for maintenance outage rescheduling of generating units before each short-term (ST) time interval. Long-term (LT) scheduling for 1 or 2 years in advance is essential for the ISO and the generation companies (GENCOs) to decide their LT strategies; however, it is not possible to be exactly followed and requires slight adjustments. The Cournot-Nash equilibrium is used to characterize the decision-making procedure … Show more
“…Studies also show that oligopolistic structures in the electricity market can lead to the exercise of market power. (Ghazvini et al 2013) show, for example, that the planning of maintenance can be influenced by strategic decision-making. The presented descriptive analysis of the relationship between weather conditions and outages does not, however, make it possible to depict strategic decision-making situations, which is why the authors exclude this factor in the further analysis.…”
Section: Key Aspects Of the Impact Of Heat And Drought On The Power Sectormentioning
The effects of extreme weather events and the resilience of the energy sector have become the subject of regulatory initiatives and ongoing research. We demonstrate the vulnerability of the German power sector to climate change and provide a qualitative and quantitative analysis of emerging risks from two types of extreme weather events: droughts and high temperatures. Our analysis is based on datasets covering temperature and drought data for the last 40 years. We present evidence of a higher frequency of power plant outages as a consequence of droughts and high temperatures. To characterize the vulnerability of the power sector we develop a capacity-adjusted drought index. The results are used to assess the monetary loss of power plant outages due to heatwaves and droughts and losses to consumers due to higher wholesale electricity prices and price volatility. An increasing frequency of such extreme weather events will aggravate the observed problem.
“…Studies also show that oligopolistic structures in the electricity market can lead to the exercise of market power. (Ghazvini et al 2013) show, for example, that the planning of maintenance can be influenced by strategic decision-making. The presented descriptive analysis of the relationship between weather conditions and outages does not, however, make it possible to depict strategic decision-making situations, which is why the authors exclude this factor in the further analysis.…”
Section: Key Aspects Of the Impact Of Heat And Drought On The Power Sectormentioning
The effects of extreme weather events and the resilience of the energy sector have become the subject of regulatory initiatives and ongoing research. We demonstrate the vulnerability of the German power sector to climate change and provide a qualitative and quantitative analysis of emerging risks from two types of extreme weather events: droughts and high temperatures. Our analysis is based on datasets covering temperature and drought data for the last 40 years. We present evidence of a higher frequency of power plant outages as a consequence of droughts and high temperatures. To characterize the vulnerability of the power sector we develop a capacity-adjusted drought index. The results are used to assess the monetary loss of power plant outages due to heatwaves and droughts and losses to consumers due to higher wholesale electricity prices and price volatility. An increasing frequency of such extreme weather events will aggravate the observed problem.
“…where SB is the system base power, θ is the nodal angle, and X is the line reactance.Equation 14 represents the power balance constraint in a node of the transmission system based on the dc representation of transmission system constraints. First term in the left-hand side of Equation 14 shows the demand in bus i, and the second term calculates the injected power from set of generation units connected to bus i (Ω i gen ). The right-hand side of Equation 14 is equal to the powers extracted by set of lines (j) connected to bus i (Ω i bus ).…”
Section: Constraintsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Reference [1] has investigated the concepts of maintenance scheduling in the restructured power system as the pioneering research in this area. After that, some researchers have focused on GMS problem from generation companies (GenCos) point of view [11][12][13][14] (which is out of the scope of this paper) and others have studied generation maintenance coordination mechanisms [9,10,[15][16][17][18][19][20][21][22][23].…”
SUMMARYIntroduction of smart grid has changed different paradigms in power industry. System-wide demand participation in power system operational planning is one of such influenced paradigms. To comply with these influenced paradigms, generation maintenance scheduling (GMS), as one of the operation planning processes, should be modified to adapt to the new changes. This paper proposes a new model to consider demand response (DR) in the GMS problem. The proposed GMS problem is modelled as a mixed integer linear programming problem and solved for the two known test cases, namely IEEE reliability test system and IEEE 118-bus test system. The results show that considering DR leads to more dispersed and uniformed generation unit maintenance schedules and lower overall system operation cost in comparison with the case in which DR is not considered.
“…In the latter studies, the sampled scenarios are adjusted to the mean value of the uncertainty. Scenario reduction by distance measures are used in power generation expansion problems in [23,24,43,44], in maintenance scheduling in [45] and in unit commitment problems in [46,47].…”
This paper uses confidence intervals from sample average approximation (SAA) and stability tests to evaluate the quality of the solution of a long-term energy system model with stochastic wind power production. Using poorly designed scenarios can give stochastic model results that depend on the scenario representation rather than the actual underlying uncertainty. Nevertheless, there is little focus on the quality of the solutions of stochastic energy models in the applied literature. Our results demonstrate how too small a sample size can give a poor energy system design and misrepresent the value of the stochastic solution (VSS).We demonstrate how to evaluate the number of scenarios needed to ensure in-sample and out-of-sample stability. We also show how replication and testing of many candidate solutions using SAA iterations can provide a solution with a satisfactory confidence interval, including when the samples contain fewer scenarios than required for stability. An important observation, though, is that if SAA repeatedly solves the model with a sample size that satisfies in-sample and out-of-sample stability, the confidence interval is narrow, and the solutions are of high quality in terms of providing a tight bound for the optimal solution.
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