2021
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-21551-3
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Stochastic models support rapid peopling of Late Pleistocene Sahul

Abstract: The peopling of Sahul (the combined continent of Australia and New Guinea) represents the earliest continental migration and settlement event of solely anatomically modern humans, but its patterns and ecological drivers remain largely conceptual in the current literature. We present an advanced stochastic-ecological model to test the relative support for scenarios describing where and when the first humans entered Sahul, and their most probable routes of early settlement. The model supports a dominant entry vi… Show more

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Cited by 41 publications
(63 citation statements)
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References 81 publications
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“…Similarly, we remain oblivious about the precise location of the inferred population Hub, although North Africa or West Asia seems the most plausible candidates. More ancient genomes are needed, as well as a better understanding of the role of South and SouthEast Asia, for which currently known material culture suggests complex trajectories ( Petraglia et al 2010 ; Dennell and Petraglia 2012 ; Allen and O’Connell 2014 ; Michel et al 2016 ; Clarkson et al 2017 ; Westaway et al 2017 ; O’Connell et al 2018 ; Shackelford et al 2018 ; Bird et al 2019 ; Bradshaw et al 2021 ).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Similarly, we remain oblivious about the precise location of the inferred population Hub, although North Africa or West Asia seems the most plausible candidates. More ancient genomes are needed, as well as a better understanding of the role of South and SouthEast Asia, for which currently known material culture suggests complex trajectories ( Petraglia et al 2010 ; Dennell and Petraglia 2012 ; Allen and O’Connell 2014 ; Michel et al 2016 ; Clarkson et al 2017 ; Westaway et al 2017 ; O’Connell et al 2018 ; Shackelford et al 2018 ; Bird et al 2019 ; Bradshaw et al 2021 ).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The current as well as future expansions of SahulArch will further facilitate modelling efforts aimed to better understand the history of human occupation of the Sahul landmass. The utility of these data collections has been illustrated recently by two studies looking at the first peopling of Sahul (Bradshaw et al, 2021;Crabtree et al, 2021) that rely on a precursor of SahulArch (Williams et al, 2014) to provide chronological data for numerical modelling of possible peopling pathways across the landmass. The SahulArch collection is currently biased towards ages published since 2014 and the geographical areas of the northern and south-eastern Australia where data entry has focussed to date.…”
Section: Sahul Archaeology (Sahularch)mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…We hope that with the expansion of SahulSed to include OSL and TL ages from aeolian and lacustrine sedimentary archives, in addition to the fluvial archives that were part of OCTOPUS v.1, and with the inclusion of SahulArch, OCTOPUS v.2 will become an equally important resource for the Australian Quaternary and archaeology research communities. The utility of these data collections has been illustrated recently by two high-profile studies looking at the first peopling of Sahul (Bradshaw et al, 2021;Crabtree et al, 2021) that rely on a precursor of SahulArch (Williams et al, 2014) to provide chronological constraints on numerical modelling and select most plausible modelled scenarios. Ultimately, it is our hope that OCTOPUS will continue to ensure that data are reusable beyond the scope of the project for which they were initially collected, and so continue to enable large-scale synoptic studies that would otherwise not be possible.…”
Section: Technical Validationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Williams [90] estimates an Aboriginal population of 0.77-1.1 million at the time of European contact. Subsequently, Bradshaw and colleagues [91] have estimated a population of 3.1 million. The average "kangaroo" carcass taken by the commercial industry yields 23 kg of meat [92], but realistically Aboriginal hunters were more likely to kill the "average kangaroo" with a yield of 13 kg of meat.…”
Section: Human Predation Declinementioning
confidence: 99%