2015 American Control Conference (ACC) 2015
DOI: 10.1109/acc.2015.7171849
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Stochastic hybrid models for predicting the behavior of drivers facing the yellow-light-dilemma

Abstract: Abstract-We address the problem of predicting whether a driver facing the yellow-light-dilemma will cross the intersection with the red light. Based on driving simulator data, we propose a stochastic hybrid system model for driver behavior. Using this model combined with Gaussian process estimation and Monte Carlo simulations, we obtain an upper bound for the probability of crossing with the red light. This upper bound has a prescribed confidence level and can be calculated quickly on-line in a recursive fashi… Show more

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Cited by 8 publications
(5 citation statements)
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References 30 publications
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“…The experiments reported here, two of three being conducted, were part of a project to model driver decision making at intersections and examine the value of augmented Proceedings of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society 59th Annual Meeting -2015 reality warnings (Hoehener et al, 2015). The first experiment (baseline driving) is described in Lin et al, (2015) and a report on the second experiment is being produced in which honking and augmented reality warnings were added.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The experiments reported here, two of three being conducted, were part of a project to model driver decision making at intersections and examine the value of augmented Proceedings of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society 59th Annual Meeting -2015 reality warnings (Hoehener et al, 2015). The first experiment (baseline driving) is described in Lin et al, (2015) and a report on the second experiment is being produced in which honking and augmented reality warnings were added.…”
Section: Methodsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Juan L et al [5] used the enhanced Gaussian Mixture Model and the Kalman Filter algorithm to determine the trajectory of motion of a target vehicle during a yellow light and predicted driving behavior using the Logit Model. Hoehner D A et al [6] constructed a stochastic Hybrid System Model for driver behavior in a yellow light dilemma area and calculated the probability of running a yellow light by combining a Gaussian process estimation and a Monte Carlo simulation. Bar-Gera H et al [7] quantified driver behavior during a yellow light signal using an exponential logistic regression and a four-parameter logistic regression.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…For example, Elhenawy et al (2015) have used AI techniques including adaptive boosting (Ada-boost), Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), and SVMs to model drivers' stop/go behavior at the yellow indication. In another study, Hoehener et al (2015) investigated drivers' dilemma when the traffic light changes to yellow. Using an ANN model based on Gaussian process theory, they introduced an upper bound for the crossing probability in the proposed situation.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%