Statistical estimation and prediction of Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) on the first/last mile road sections in the Port of Szczecin

Abstract

Deepening the fairway Świnoujście-Szczecin to a depth of 12.5 m will improve access to the port of Szczecin from the sea. Larger vessels will be able to call at the port of Szczecin and thus the current trends in cargo turnover will probably change. To make it possible, it is also necessary to invest in improving port access from the mainland. In the article the authors present estimates and forecasts of the annual average daily traffic of vehicles (AADT) on national road no. 10 (DK 10) and access roads to the port of Szczecin (so called the "last mile" sections). Estimation was based on the author's own traffic research carried out in September-October 2016 as part of Feasibility Study for the project Modernization of the access roads to the port of Szczecin: reconstruction of the transport system in the area of Międzyodrze implemented by the city of Szczecin.

Exploring the Sustainable Effects of Urban-Port Road System Reconstruction

“…Estimated Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) on road sections was a basis for a long-term prognosis of AADTs up to the year 2043. Forecasts of AADT were developed in the reference period for each road segment separately according to the following equation [59]:…”

Forming an automated technology to manage freight transportation along a direction

“…Paper [8] studies the problem of highway traffic on roads to the port [8]. Authors indicate that difficulties arise at the last mile towards the port.…”

“…The objective of scientific studies [2][3][4][5][6][7][8][9] is improvement of a certain part of the transportation process. However, there are no sufficient studies on the full cycle of movement of wagon traffic.…”