Statistical distribution of surface elevation by using quadratic forms of normal random variables

Abstract

This paper is concerned with the statistical properties of surface elevation, which is crucial for the design and operation of marine and coastal structures and is helpful to the prediction of rogue waves. A semi-analytic quadratic model is proposed to describe the statistical distribution of surface elevation by using the theory of quadratic forms of normal random variables, in which the characteristic function and cumulants are given in analytical form, and the probability density is obtained by the numerical inversion of the characteristic function using the fast Fourier transform algorithm. Compared with Monte Carlo simulations, the quadratic model presents excellent performance in describing the probability density function of surface elevation, especially at the tails, for varying degrees of steepness, bandwidth, and directional spreading in both finite and infinite water depth. The effect of these parameters that characterize sea states on the statistical properties of surface elevation is also investigated. Through a comparative study, the quadratic model is superior to previously existing theoretical models.