Stability of Socioeconomic Systems: Scenario Investigation Methodology

Kononov, Dmitry; Kulba, Vladimir; Sbubin, A.N.

doi:10.1016/s1474-6670(17)33024-0

Cited by 5 publications

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“…The signed graph model extension to the directed operator graph model allows one to formally develop synergetic and attractive scenarios. They are hypothetic discrete movement trajectories of the modeled system in a phase space of variables (factors), based on the information about system structure and control actions performed (Kononov et al 2001). The proposed method consists of an approximation of SES development trends by trajectory fragments, defined by impulse processes on the directed graph.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Synthesis Of Sustainable Development Scenarios Of Social Economic Systems

Kononov

Kulba

Bikovska

2008

ECMS 2008 Proceedings Edited By: L. S. Louca, Y. Chrysanthou, Z. Oplatkova, K. Al-Begain

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This paper presents basic principles of a scenario approach application to the problem of optimal development of social economic systems. The formalized description of scenario of system sustainable development is introduced and synergetic and attractive scenarios are examined. The modes providing stable and safe development of social economic system are investigated for synergistic scenarios, however for attractive scenarios it is the control purpose. Scenario design example based on the use of the social economic system development model represented by signed the graph language are given. Formal methods of such scenarios development, the "Object-subject" method and the method of base scenarios, are proposed.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%