Stability-Level Evaluation of the Construction Site above the Goaf Based on Combination Weighting and Cloud Model

Abstract

Mineral resource-based cities have formed a large number of goafs due to the long-term mining of coal. It is of great significance to make full use of the abandoned land resources above the goaf to promote the transformation and development of resource-based cities. In order to avoid the threat of surface residual deformation to the proposed construction project, it is an urgent problem to obtain the stability results of the construction site accurately. First of all, based on the principles of relevance, hierarchy, representativeness and feasibility of index selection, 10 indexes are selected to construct the stability evaluation index system. Then the subjective weight and objective weight of evaluation indexes are determined based on improved AHP, rough set and CRITIC methods, which improves the accuracy of the determination of the index weights. In addition, the membership degree of each index is determined using the cloud model. Finally, the stability grade can be obtained according to the maximum membership degree theory. The above researches are applied to evaluate the stability of the Mianluan expressway construction site, and the results show that the stability level of the study area is not uniform and that there are two states: stable and basically stable. Finally, a sensitivity analysis of the subjective weight of each index is carried out, the index stopping time has the highest sensitivity to weight (12.44%), which is far lower than the corresponding weight change rate of 100%, indicating that the determination of weight is scientific and reasonable. These things considered, the reliability of the evaluation result is indirectly verified according to the field leveling. This research can provide a reference for the effective utilization of land resources above an old goaf.

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