“…Current mechanistic models were developed from the perspective of carbohydrate partitioning and source-sink relationships during the growing season (DeJong et al, 2011;Da Silva et al, 2014). In these models winter biology is usually represented as maintenance respiration, an oversimplification that ignores an entire suite of biological activities related to winter temperature, winter carbohydrate management, transport, and subsequent spring performance (Lacointe et al, 2004;Bonhomme et al, 2005;Pellegrino et al, 2014;Tixier et al, 2017b). On the other hand, models that focus on dormancy such as the chilling hours models (Utah chill models, dynamic model), which were developed to predict bud break in response to winter temperature, are descriptive and empirical in nature (Pérez et al, 2008;Aslamarz et al, 2010;Luedeling and Brown, 2011;Luedeling et al, 2013;Londo and Johnson, 2014).…”