Spatiotemporal variations and characterization of the chronic cancer risk associated with benzene exposure

Sakizadeh, Mohamad

doi:10.1016/j.ecoenv.2019.109387

Cited by 12 publications

(9 citation statements)

References 55 publications

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“…From the result of this study, the risk of developing cancer resulting from the exposure of chemical agents in the Kim-Kim River incident needs further investigation. However, a few studies have investigated the relationship between exposure to benzene and other volatile organic compounds (VOCs) [90,91]. Benzene exposure during childhood was associated with acute lymphocytic leukemia and acute myeloid leukemia of relative risk (RR) 1.0 (95% CI: 0.6-1.7) and RR 1.9 (95% CI: 0.3-11.1) [91].…”

Section: Cancermentioning

confidence: 99%

The Impacts of Illegal Toxic Waste Dumping on Children’s Health: A Review and Case Study from Pasir Gudang, Malaysia

Ibrahim

Hod

Toha

et al. 2021

IJERPH

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Poor management of hazardous waste can lead to environmental pollution, injuries, and adverse health risks. Children’s exposure to hazardous waste may cause serious acute and chronic health problems due to their higher vulnerability to the toxic effects of chemicals. This study examines an incident of illegal chemical dumping in Pasir Gudang, Malaysia and its potential health impacts on children. The study introduced a risk assessment of possible health-related effects due to chemical contamination based on a real case scenario where quantification of the contamination was not feasible. A literature review and spatial analysis were used as research methods. On 6th March 2019, tons of hazardous waste were illegally disposed into Kim Kim River, Pasir Gudang, Malaysia. They were identified as benzene, acrolein, acrylonitrile, hydrogen chloride, methane, toluene, xylene, ethylbenzene, and d-limonene. As a result, 975 students in the vicinity developed signs and symptoms of respiratory disease due to the chemical poisoning. The findings of this study indicate that more effective policies and preventive actions are urgently needed to protect human health, especially children from improper hazardous waste management.

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Section: Cancermentioning

confidence: 99%

The Impacts of Illegal Toxic Waste Dumping on Children’s Health: A Review and Case Study from Pasir Gudang, Malaysia

Ibrahim

Hod

Toha

et al. 2021

IJERPH

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“…At this time, the advanced innovation state-space modeling framework by combining Box-Cox transformations, Fourier series with time-varying coefficients and autoregressive moving average (ARMA) error correction method (called TBATS) is tailored for extraction with the information included in a complex time series described above. 21 Furthermore, the TBATS approach can not only be used to deal with the linear issue but can handle some types of non-linearity based on Box-Cox transformations, 23 whilst allowing for time-dependent dynamic seasonality, 24 which enables this advanced method to have the potential to make a long-term forecast. Moreover, the TBATS approach also has a powerful ability to decompose a complex seasonal time series into constituent latent subseries, 21 which fails to be done by the aforementioned common methods.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Moreover, the TBATS approach also has a powerful ability to decompose a complex seasonal time series into constituent latent subseries, 21 which fails to be done by the aforementioned common methods. In the past, the advanced TBATS model has been used to nowcast and forecast the flow time series in water distribution systems, 25 the demand for the electric energy, 26 and spatiotemporal variations and characterization of benzene, 23 and the resulting results indicated that this advanced method could produce a relatively high forecasting accuracy in these fields. However, there is no study to use this advanced method to analyze and evaluate the long-term epidemiological trends and seasonality of HFRS.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Estimating the Long-Term Epidemiological Trends and Seasonality of Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome in China

Xiao¹,

Li²,

Li³

et al. 2021

IDR

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Objective We aim to examine the adequacy of an innovation state-space modeling framework (called TBATS) in forecasting the long-term epidemic seasonality and trends of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS). Methods The HFRS morbidity data from January 1995 to December 2020 were taken, and subsequently, the data were split into six different training and testing segments (including 12, 24, 36, 60, 84, and 108 holdout monthly data) to investigate its predictive ability of the TBATS method, and its forecasting performance was compared with the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA). Results The TBATS (0.27, {0,0}, -, {<12,4>}) and SARIMA (0,1,(1,3))(0,1,1) 12 were selected as the best TBATS and SARIMA methods, respectively, for the 12-step ahead prediction. The mean absolute deviation, root mean square error, mean absolute percentage error, mean error rate, and root mean square percentage error were 91.799, 14.772, 123.653, 0.129, and 0.193, respectively, for the preferred TBATS method and were 144.734, 25.049, 161.671, 0.203, and 0.296, respectively, for the preferred SARIMA method. Likewise, for the 24-, 36-, 60-, 84-, and 108-step ahead predictions, the preferred TBATS methods produced smaller forecasting errors over the best SARIMA methods. Further validations also suggested that the TBATS model outperformed the Error-Trend-Seasonal framework, with little exception. HFRS had dual seasonal behaviors, peaking in May–June and November–December. Overall a notable decrease in the HFRS morbidity was seen during the study period (average annual percentage change=−6.767, 95% confidence intervals: −10.592 to −2.778), and yet different stages had different variation trends. Besides, the TBATS model predicted a plateau in the HFRS morbidity in the next ten years. Conclusion The TBATS approach outperforms the SARIMA approach in estimating the long-term epidemic seasonality and trends of HFRS, which is capable of being deemed as a promising alternative to help stakeholders to inform future preventive policy or practical solutions to tackle the evolving scenarios.

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“…Re search on these relations is part of a broader trend that has been focusing on the search for any con nection between air pollution and cancer incidence and mortality (Chen et al 2016;Su et al 2019;Bai et al 2020). Additional analyses and metaanalyses were also carried out with the purpose of studying the risk of cancer being caused by benzene (Atabi and Mirzahosseini 2013;Kassomenos 2019, 2020;Sakizadeh 2019;Teras et al 2019) and fi nding any connections between benzene (present not only in the air) and leukaemia incidence and mortality, especially in children (Best et al 2001;Pyatt and Hays 2010;Filippini et al 2015;Janitz et al 2017;RaaschouNielsen et al 2018).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The influence of benzene air pollution on leukemia incidence and mortality rates

Pilarska

Pospieszyńska

2021

Bulletin of Geography. Physical Geography Series

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The following study identifies areas where adverse conditions related to benzene pollution are concurrent with leukaemia incidence and mortality (C91–C95). Moreover, it determines the similarities between benzene and leukaemia levels, as well and rules defining their co-occurrence. The analysis covered the period of 2015–2017. Data were obtained from Dane.gov.pl (number of leukaemia cases), the Polish National Cancer Registry website (number of deaths), the Local Data Bank of the Central Statistical Office (population data) and the Chief Inspectorate of Environmental Protection and the Air Quality Portal (data on air quality). Based on the conducted analysis, it was concluded that the following poviat towns have an unfavourable epidemic situation related to leukaemia: Kielce (incidence), Rzeszów (incidence), Elbląg (mortality); meanwhile, high leukaemia incidence and mortality co-occurred with high average benzene concentration in 2015–2017 in the following poviat towns: Kielce, Rybnik, Płock and Rzeszów. It was found that leukaemias belonging to the three-character ICD-10 categories C94, C95 and C92 show the highest rate of co-occurrence with benzene concentration. In addition, two main rules for the co-occurrence of benzene pollution and leukaemia were identified. It was also noted that it is necessary to continue the research for a longer time period, especially in the poviat towns of Kielce and Rzeszów.

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Spatiotemporal variations and characterization of the chronic cancer risk associated with benzene exposure

Cited by 12 publications

References 55 publications

The Impacts of Illegal Toxic Waste Dumping on Children’s Health: A Review and Case Study from Pasir Gudang, Malaysia

The Impacts of Illegal Toxic Waste Dumping on Children’s Health: A Review and Case Study from Pasir Gudang, Malaysia

Estimating the Long-Term Epidemiological Trends and Seasonality of Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome in China

The influence of benzene air pollution on leukemia incidence and mortality rates

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