Spatiotemporal change in the climatic growing season in Northeast China during 1960–2009

Dong, Manyu; Jiang, Yuan; Zhang, Dayong; Wu, Zhengfang

doi:10.1007/s00704-012-0706-y

Cited by 20 publications

(14 citation statements)

References 37 publications

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“…The increase in the length of the growing season in different regions of Poland was also confirmed by other authors, among others, Skowera and Kopeć (2008), Żmudzka andDobrowolska (2001), Olechnowicz-Bobrowska andWojkowski (2006), Krużel et al (2015), Graczyk and Kundzewicz (2016). A similar trend was observed on the basis of different periods and methods also in other regions, including Scandinavia (Carter 1998), Germany Finland (Irannezhad andKløve 2015) and also in the western United States (Feng and Hu 2004) and China (Dong et al 2013). The increase in the length of the growing season in Europe by 10.8 days from the 1960s was found by Menzel and Fabian (1999) on the basis of 30-year observations.…”

Section: Summary and Discussionsupporting

confidence: 80%

The effect of macro-scale circulation types on the length of the growing season in Poland

Tomczyk

Szyga–Pluta

Bednorz

2018

Meteorol Atmos Phys

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The main objective of the article was to determine the impact of macro-scale circulation types on the beginning and end of the growing season in Poland in 1966-2015. The data concerning average daily air temperature for 30 stations from the period of 1966-2015 were used. Data were obtained from the databases of the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management-National Research Institute. The period with the average daily air temperature ≥ 5 °C was considered to be the growing season. To determine the dates of the beginning and end of the growing season, the Gumiński method was applied. The time and extent of changes in parameters of the growing season were significantly dependent on the variability of the macro-scale circulation types (AO, NAO, EA, SCAND, EA/WR) affecting the atmosphere circulation over Poland. The Atlantic Oscillation had the greatest impact on the beginning of the growing season. In turn, the end of the growing season was most strongly regulated by the East Atlantic circulation.

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Section: Summary and Discussionsupporting

confidence: 80%

The effect of macro-scale circulation types on the length of the growing season in Poland

Tomczyk

Szyga–Pluta

Bednorz

2018

Meteorol Atmos Phys

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“…The past few decades have witnessed significant changes of thermal growing season (TGS) in the Northern Hemisphere (Peltonen-Sainio et al 2009, Linderholm et al 2008, Menzel et al 2006. Defined as the interval with temperature steadily exceeding certain thresholds, growing season length (GSL) has shown a lengthening trend over much of the Northern Hemisphere (Frich et al 2002, Dong et al 2013, Parmesan and Yohe 2003. Similar significant lengthening in GSL has been validated in many regions by phenological studies, based on field observations and remote sensing data (Menzel and Fabian 1999, Park et al 2016, Yu et al 2018.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 88%

“…The contributing fractions of the advanced onset and the delayed termination to the prolonged GSL vary across regions. For instance, the prolongation over northern Europe and eastern China could be primarily ascribed to the earlier beginning, while it seems more of a result by later termination in west of China and over mid-high latitudes in North America (Linderholm et al 2008, Dong et al 2013, Zhu et al 2012. In addition, projected changes for these TGS indices are employed in different regions to provide insights about ecological responses to the future warming climate therein.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Projected changes of thermal growing season over Northern Eurasia in a 1.5 °C and 2 °C warming world

Zhou

Zhai

Chen

et al. 2018

Environ. Res. Lett.

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Projected changes of the thermal growing season (TGS) over Northern Eurasia at 1.5• C and 2• C global warming levels are investigated using 22 CMIP5 models under both RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. The multi-model mean projections indicate Northern Eurasia will experience extended and intensified TGSs in a warmer world. The prolongation of TGSs under 1.5• C and 2• C warming is attributed to both earlier onset and later termination, with the latter factor playing a dominating role. Interestingly, earlier onset is of greater importance under RCP4.5 than under RCP8.5 in prolonging TGS as the world warms by an additional 0.5• C. Under both RCPs, growing degree day sum (GDD) above 5• C is anticipated to increase by 0 • C-450• C days and 0 • C-650• C days over Northern Eurasia at 1.5• C and 2• C warming, respectively. However, effective GDD (EGDD) which accumulates optimum temperature for the growth of wheat, exhibits a decline in the south of Central Asia under warmer climates. Therefore, for wheat production over Northern Eurasia, adverse effects incurred by scorching temperatures and resultant inadequacy in water availability may counteract benefits from lengthening and warming TGS. In response to a future 1.5• C and 2• C warmer world, proper management and scientifically-tailored adaptation are imperative to optimize local-regional agricultural production.

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“…In boreal and temperate climate conditions, the commonly used base temperature for TGS is 5 °C (e.g. Engen‐Skaugen and Tveito, ; Brewer et al , ; Kellomäki et al , ; Linderholm et al , ; Jiang et al , ; Booth et al , ; Dong et al , ; Kauppi et al , ) while in warmer climate zones higher thresholds, e.g. 10 °C, have been generally applied (e.g.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Projections for the duration and degree days of the thermal growing season in Europe derived from CMIP5 model output

Ruosteenoja

Räisänen

Venäläinen

et al. 2015

Intl Journal of Climatology

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Global warming leads to a prolongation and intensification of the thermal growing season. In this study, we present projections for the growing season length and growing degree day sum (GDD) in Europe by the end of the 21st century using two threshold temperatures, 5 and 10 ∘ C. The analysis was based on simulations performed with 22-23 CMIP5 global models under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. Systematic errors in the temporal mean and variability of modelled temperatures were eliminated, and the data were downscaled spatially by employing a bias-correction method. To determine the onset, termination and GDD of the growing season, two methods have been used. The previously developed Fourier method is suited for exploring long-term means, while the novel temperature deviation integral method is applicable to inter-annual variations.According to the multi-model mean of the RCP8.5 simulations in the late 21st century, for the majority of Europe the growing season is prolonged by 1.5-2 months, the GDD above 5 ∘ C increasing by 60-100%. Responses to RCP4.5 are qualitatively similar but smaller. A decomposition of the uncertainty variance reveals that in the near-term future the contribution of internal variability is pronounced, but by the end of the century inter-model differences dominate.In studying growing-season conditions on an annual basis, we found that in coming decades years with a GDD below the recent past mean become very uncommon. In the majority of years, GDD will exceed the 10-year or even the 20-or 50-year return level derived from recent past data.

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Spatiotemporal change in the climatic growing season in Northeast China during 1960–2009

Cited by 20 publications

References 37 publications

The effect of macro-scale circulation types on the length of the growing season in Poland

The effect of macro-scale circulation types on the length of the growing season in Poland

Projected changes of thermal growing season over Northern Eurasia in a 1.5 °C and 2 °C warming world

Projections for the duration and degree days of the thermal growing season in Europe derived from CMIP5 model output

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