Spatial effects of climate change on tourism development in china: An analysis of tourism value chains

Abstract

Tourism value chains is scattered across the economic fields. This paper seeks to carry out an empirical analysis of the relationship between climate change and tourism development in China. We used relevant data from 31 provinces in China, and analyzed the spatial effects of climate change on tourism development using a spatial Durbin model. In the development of tourism in Chinese provinces, the research results show that the high-high agglomeration areas of inbound overnight tourists are widely distributed in the coastal areas of eastern China, while the low-low agglomeration areas are mainly distributed in western China, showing an unreasonable bipolar distribution. In terms of climate change, the increase of annual precipitation contributes to the enhancement of the number of inbound overnight tourists in local areas, but reduces the number of inbound overnight tourists in adjacent areas; the increase of annual average temperature raises the number of inbound overnight tourists in local areas, but decreases the number of inbound overnight tourists in adjacent areas; which indicates that there is a spatial spillover effect of climate change on tourism development. Therefore, we propose that western China should receive further policy support, the positive spatial spillover effect of the number of inbound overnight visitors among provinces should be fully utilized, and the tourist attractions should be enriched and developed. However, there are some limitations in the construction of the spatial weight matrix, the consideration of sample size, and the selection of factors affecting tourism development.

Impact of Climate Change on International Tourism Evidence from Baltic Sea Countries

“…Xiong et al [76], using a spatial model for 31 provinces of China, analyzed the impact of climate change, measured through temperature and rainfall, on inbound overnight tourism. As control variables, the authors included real GDP per capita, traffic convenience, and hospitality capacity.…”

Impacts of Weather Variability on the International Tourism Receipts—Evidence from Ethiopia (1995–2019)

“…To address the impacts of weather variability on tourism receipts in Ethiopia, several key policy recommendations can be considered. Acknowledging and addressing the links between environmental change and tourism is crucial, urging the development of better adaptation plans [73]. Also, understanding the seasonality of weather patterns is vital for planning and decision-making, necessitating adjustments to festival dates, creating real-time information platforms, and implementing flexible vacation arrangements [75].…”

“…Implementing policies and regulations: Establishing and enforcing policies are beneficial to mitigate the negative impacts of climate change on tourism. This includes supporting adaptation efforts [67,73,74], promoting low-carbon tourism [75], tax waivers for environmentally friendly practices, active encouragement for climate-adaptive establishments, and the implementation of green taxes to promote sustainability [76,77].…”

Does the Visa-Free Policy Promote Inbound Tourism? Evidence From China

“…The spatial agglomeration and spillover of the urban tourism industry is a necessary stage in the transformation process of the tourism economy to high-quality development. This spatial spillover also exists in the development of inbound tourism (Deng et al, 2017; Xiong et al, 2022). The clustering of the inbound tourism industry is more likely to attract education and research institutions to locate near the clusters, which helps strengthen the solidarity between regions, thus promoting the development of the inbound tourism industry in neighboring regions (Llorca-Rodríguez et al, 2021).…”