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2013
DOI: 10.1186/1471-2334-13-64
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Spatial and temporal variation and hotspot detection of kala-azar disease in Vaishali district (Bihar), India

Abstract: BackgroundAn improved understanding in transmission variation of kala-azar is fundamental to conduct surveillance and implementing disease prevention strategies. This study investigated the spatio-temporal patterns and hotspot detection for reporting kala-azar cases in Vaishali district based on spatial statistical analysis.MethodsEpidemiological data from the study area during 2007–2011 was used to examine the dynamic space-time pattern of kala-azar outbreaks, and all cases were geocoded at a village level. S… Show more

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Cited by 85 publications
(70 citation statements)
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“…33,35,36 Spatiotemporal and genetic analyses showed clustering of cases in "hot spots" and increased risk of infection and disease in household members of VL cases, underscoring the need for active search of subclinical infections in areas highly endemic for VL. [37][38][39] In a VL endemic focus of Brazil, > 70% of persons were considered to have asymptomatic infections, and around 12% either showed some symptoms of VL or progressed toward overt disease. 35 Asymptomatic infections also could be an important risk factor for recipients of blood and organs from donors inhabiting endemic areas.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…33,35,36 Spatiotemporal and genetic analyses showed clustering of cases in "hot spots" and increased risk of infection and disease in household members of VL cases, underscoring the need for active search of subclinical infections in areas highly endemic for VL. [37][38][39] In a VL endemic focus of Brazil, > 70% of persons were considered to have asymptomatic infections, and around 12% either showed some symptoms of VL or progressed toward overt disease. 35 Asymptomatic infections also could be an important risk factor for recipients of blood and organs from donors inhabiting endemic areas.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The Gi* (d) statistics is useful for determining the spatial dependence of neighboring observations (Scott et al, 2010). The result expresses the Z-score and p-value of the calculated value of Gi*(d) in comparison with the normal distribution of statistics calculated by simulation (Bhunia et al, 2013). These values represent the statistical significance of the spatial clustering of values, given the conceptualization of spatial relationships and the scale of analysis in distance parameter.…”
Section: Hotspot Detectionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The IDW produces surfaces by interpolation of scatter points and has been employed in studies on vector borne diseases and pest management (Beckler et al, 2005;Naish et al, 2011;Bhunia et al, 2013). Prior to IDW, Spatial autocorrelation analysis was performed to check whether the flea index was distributed randomly over space and, if not, to evaluate any identified flea index cluster for statistical significance (Meng et al, 2010;Naish et al, 2011).…”
Section: Generation Of Interpolated Flea Index Surfacesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Prior to IDW, Spatial autocorrelation analysis was performed to check whether the flea index was distributed randomly over space and, if not, to evaluate any identified flea index cluster for statistical significance (Meng et al, 2010;Naish et al, 2011). The Moran's I statistics (ESRI, 2006;Bhunia et al, 2013) was used to evaluate autocorrelation. A value close to '0' indicates spatial randomness.…”
Section: Generation Of Interpolated Flea Index Surfacesmentioning
confidence: 99%