2020
DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.1941
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South Asia: Multilateral trade agreements and untapped regional trade integration

Abstract: This paper presents the facts on existing and future prospects of regional trade integration in South Asia in the backdrop of multilateral trade agreements. The study applies trade intensity index of four largest South Asian countries (India, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka) to estimates the short‐ and long‐run trade co‐integration in autoregressive multilateral framework. The results highlights that long‐run trade complementarities are found between the trade of Pakistan and Sri Lanka, while short‐run tra… Show more

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Cited by 10 publications
(7 citation statements)
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References 31 publications
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“…According to the document, Bangladesh imported the most significant quantity from India (see details in Table 6). Kumar (2020) shows that Pakistan and Bangladesh are found close trade competitors in South Asia in short-run. The Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics and Export Promotion Bureau in Table 7 shows that Bangladesh has a large trade deficit with India despite having one of the highest export volumes among the SAARC members.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
See 1 more Smart Citation
“…According to the document, Bangladesh imported the most significant quantity from India (see details in Table 6). Kumar (2020) shows that Pakistan and Bangladesh are found close trade competitors in South Asia in short-run. The Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics and Export Promotion Bureau in Table 7 shows that Bangladesh has a large trade deficit with India despite having one of the highest export volumes among the SAARC members.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Bangladesh bought USD 1012192 million from SAARC countries in FY 2019-2020. Bangladesh imported 176339 million dollars, 27667 million dollars, 3223189 million dollars, and 4271 million dollars, USD 807529 million, USD 265039 million, and USD 976616 million from Afghanistan, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Maldives, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka, respectively, in FY 2015-16, 2016-2017, 2017-2018, 2018-2020. Furthermore, Table 12 shows that Bangladesh has enormous trade deficits with SAARC countries every year.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…He finds that there are long-run trade complementarities between the trade of Pakistan and Sri Lanka, while short-run trade complementarities exist between India and Bangladesh, and between India and Sri Lanka. Pakistan and Bangladesh are found close trade competitors in South Asia in short run [29]. Mahmood & Jongwanich (2018) examine the effects of in-effect free trade agreements (FTA) on exports of Pakistan using the extended gravity model of bilateral trade flows.…”
Section: Trade Influencing Factorsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The results show that South Asia still has the problem of declining production efficiency and pointed out that backward countries may increase productivity by moving resources across borders. Rakesh Kumar (2018) [2] estimated the current situation of South Asian trade integration under the self-returning multilateral framework, and the results showed that Pakistan and Sri Lanka have long-term trade complementarity, and India and Bangladesh, India and Sri Lanka have short-term trade complementarity. Nazia Gul and Hafiz M. Yasin (2011) [3] used a trade gravity model to estimate Pakistan's trade potential.…”
Section: Literature Reviewmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In the empirical analysis of the model, in order to explain the meaning of the coefficients, the logarithm of the data is usually taken. The basic form of the model is as follows: (2) δ is the other influencing variables, ε is the iid random disturbance term, α0 is the constant term, and α1, α2, α3, and α4 are the corresponding variable coefficients.…”
Section: 11trade Gravity Model (Gm)mentioning
confidence: 99%