2013
DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2013-35
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South African Food Security and Climate Change: Agriculture Futures

Abstract: The projected changes in planted area, yield per area, net exports/imports and prices for five major agricultural crops in South Africa were simulated using the projections of four Global Circulation Models (GCMs) under three socio-economic scenarios. The GCM projections show consistent strong warming over the subcontinent, but disagree with respect to future precipitation, from slight wetting (particularly on the eastern side) to overall slight drying. The future crop yields were simulated using the DSSAT cro… Show more

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Cited by 10 publications
(5 citation statements)
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“…1,2 This result suggests that a temperature lower than this point could harm the farming productivity in SSA regions. This result is in line with the existing literature that high temperature in the SSA regions could create biochemical challenges for plant cells (i.e., enzymes associated with the photosynthetic pathway) (Moore et al, 2021), and thus leads to a decrease in crop yield and animal production (Dube et al, 2013, Kotir, 2011. In addition, the result of the interaction term T emperature × Elevation has a negative and significant impact on TE (see Model (2) of Table A3 in the Appendix).…”
Section: Resultssupporting
confidence: 88%
“…1,2 This result suggests that a temperature lower than this point could harm the farming productivity in SSA regions. This result is in line with the existing literature that high temperature in the SSA regions could create biochemical challenges for plant cells (i.e., enzymes associated with the photosynthetic pathway) (Moore et al, 2021), and thus leads to a decrease in crop yield and animal production (Dube et al, 2013, Kotir, 2011. In addition, the result of the interaction term T emperature × Elevation has a negative and significant impact on TE (see Model (2) of Table A3 in the Appendix).…”
Section: Resultssupporting
confidence: 88%
“…Land that remains a major factor in increasing agricultural production, especially corn rice and is supported by adequate irrigation [20]. Therefore, supporting facilities are needed in increasing agricultural productivity in Indonesia, one of the most important is the irrigation area, with adequate irrigation that will increase rice productivity in Indonesia [21].…”
Section: Y = 61142+16158xmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Regarding food planning in urban government, Durban also showed a good example. To ensure food security for low-income populations, the city of Durban, South Africa, has initiated field trials of different crops in various locations to simulate future climate projections (Dube et al, 2013). The program intends to measure not only the yields of the crops but also the crops' social acceptability, palatability, and substitutability for traditional crops.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%