Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. . This paper will document the development of each of these microfoundational programs and their interrelationship, especially in relationship to the programs of general-equilibrium theory and econometrics, whose modern incarnations both date from exactly the same period in the 1930s.
Terms of use:
Documents in EconStor may
JEL Codes: B2, B22, E1Keywords: microfoundations of macroeconomics, general equilibrium, aggregation, representative agent, fixed-price models, econometric models Hoover, "Microfoundational Programs" 1996, Blanchard and Fischer 1989, Barro 1984. How did microfoundations become the sine qua non of sound macroeconomics? There are many ways to tell this story -and, indeed, it has been told before. Here I will tell it from the perspective of the currently dominant practice. This is an exercise in economy rather than in Whig history. The story features neither triumph nor inevitable progress; rather it seeks to know why current practice is the way it is; and, as a result, it omits or minimizes alternative paths, including heterodox programs, such as post-Keynesian macroeconomics, and heterodox criticisms, such as those lodged by the Austrian school, as well as mainly pointing to certain aspects that are already well discussed elsewhere. The decision on the part of the most prestigious theorist of his day freed a generation of economists from the discipline imposed by equilibrium theory, and . . . this freedom was rapidly and fruitfully exploited by macroeconometricians. New classical microfoundations begins with the optimization problems of individual agents. These are incorporated into a dynamic general-equilibrium model based in the contingent-claims framework. Dynamics in an uncertain world requires the formation of expectations. Rather than taking expectations to be exogenously given or based on arbitrary rules of thumb, the rational-expectations hypothesis assumes that self-interested agents will somehow find expectations that are consistent with a true model of the economic process. They may make expectational errors, but they will not make systematic errors. The rational-expectations hypothesis, because it incorporates -implicitly, at least -the whole model of the economy imposes consistency restrictions across the various equations. No part of the system is independent from the other parts.In Lucas's account, modern microfoundations begins with the new classical revolution of the 1970s, the opening shot of which was the introductio...